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አማርኛ ⚽
Match Result model
1X2 winner picks · settled openly
100%
Win rate
+47%
ROI
1
Settled
⏳ early sample — 2 tips published so far
See the picks → Overall record
1301Published
1234Settled
471Won
44.7%Win rate
-69.09uProfit
-6.6%ROI
-0.51%Avg CLV
Model v3 — current rules, since 18 Sep 2026
22Published
12Settled
58.3%Win rate
+0.65uProfit
+5.4%ROI
-0.08%Avg CLV
The v2 record settled at −6.1% ROI over 933 graded picks — market-average results minus the bookmaker margin, which the published closing-line value (−0.6%) confirmed. Its own breakdown showed where the money went: Over-goals picks (−18% ROI), picks the model rated at 50–59% (they hit 44%), and the opening weeks of a season, when ratings still reflect last year. From 18 Sep 2026 the same model publishes only picks it rates at 55% or more, never an Over, and nothing until both teams have four recent matches. Roughly a quarter of the old volume.
Model v2 — 29 Jul to 17 Sep 2026, closed
1044Published
987Settled
45.2%Win rate
-55.63uProfit
-6.5%ROI
-0.48%Avg CLV
Selective picks from our Poisson goal model blended with the market, published whenever the best price cleared a value threshold. It lost, and the numbers stay here as published — a record that only keeps its winning periods is not a record. CLV: -0.48% average, beating the close on 254 of 867 bets.
v3 tracks by market
📊
Totals model
Over/Under goals picks · settled openly
54.5%
Win rate
+1.6%
ROI
11
Settled
CLV -0.08% vs last tracked price
⏳ early sample — 20 tips published so far
See the picks → 🤝
Draw value model
Value on the draw (X) · settled openly
—
Win rate
—
ROI
0
Settled
⏳ early sample — 0 tips published so far
See the picks → These are performance tracks of one and the same model, split by market — not people. Every number counts real settled tips only: archived before kick-off, graded against the final score, never edited. Small samples are labelled as such.
v2 tracks by market
🤝
Draw value model
Value on the draw (X) · settled openly
100%
Win rate
+111.7%
ROI
4
Settled
CLV +0% vs last tracked price
⏳ early sample — 4 tips published so far
See the picks → ⚽
Match Result model
1X2 winner picks · settled openly
40.4%
Win rate
-3.5%
ROI
339
Settled
CLV -0.87% vs last tracked price
See the picks → 📊
Totals model
Over/Under goals picks · settled openly
47.7%
Win rate
-8.9%
ROI
644
Settled
CLV -0.26% vs last tracked price
See the picks → These are performance tracks of one and the same model, split by market — not people. Every number counts real settled tips only: archived before kick-off, graded against the final score, never edited. Small samples are labelled as such.
All-time tracks (incl. v1)
🤝
Draw value model
Value on the draw (X) · settled openly
61.5%
Win rate
+93.8%
ROI
15
Settled
CLV +0% vs last tracked price
⏳ early sample — 15 tips published so far
See the picks → ⚽
Match Result model
1X2 winner picks · settled openly
37.9%
Win rate
-6.3%
ROI
376
Settled
CLV -0.8% vs last tracked price
See the picks → 📊
Totals model
Over/Under goals picks · settled openly
47.7%
Win rate
-8.5%
ROI
843
Settled
CLV -0.38% vs last tracked price
See the picks → These are performance tracks of one and the same model, split by market — not people. Every number counts real settled tips only: archived before kick-off, graded against the final score, never edited. Small samples are labelled as such.
Settled log
By date → W 20 Sept
RB Salzburg v Sturm GrazUnder 3.5 goals · 3-0
1.74 +0.74u L 20 Sept Nice v LilleUnder 2.5 goals · 2-1
1.94 -1.00u W 20 Sept Juventus v Atalanta BCUnder 2.5 goals · 2-0
2.19 +1.19u W 20 Sept Atlético Madrid v Real MadridUnder 3.25 goals · 2-1
1.93 +0.93u L 20 Sept AD Ceuta FC v Real Valladolid CFAD Ceuta FC to win · 1-1
2.90 -1.00u L 20 Sept Mjällby AIF v GAISUnder 2.5 goals · 0-3
2.04 -1.00u W 20 Sept Sandefjord v IK StartSandefjord to win · 3-0
2.01 +1.01u L 20 Sept Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia WarszawaJagiellonia Białystok to win · 1-3
2.70 -1.00u L 20 Sept Viborg FF v FC NordsjaellandUnder 3.5 goals · 4-1
1.75 -1.00u W 20 Sept OFI Crete v Asteras TripolisOver 2.5 goals · 2-2
2.25 +1.25u L 20 Sept Las Palmas v Burgos CFUnder 2.5 goals · 1-2
1.77 -1.00u W 20 Sept Villarreal v LevanteOver 3.0 goals · 3-1
1.97 +0.97u W 20 Sept Degerfors IF v Hammarby IFUnder 3.5 goals · 0-1
1.68 +0.68u W 20 Sept Viking FK v LillestromViking FK to win · 3-0
1.52 +0.52u L 20 Sept OFI Crete v Asteras TripolisOFI Crete to win · 2-2
2.23 -1.00u W 20 Sept Mjällby AIF v GAISUnder 3.5 goals · 0-3
1.94 +0.94u L 20 Sept Tromso v HamKamUnder 3.5 goals · 3-2
1.96 -1.00u W 20 Sept Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia WarszawaUnder 4.5 goals · 1-3
2.30 +1.30u L 19 Sept Brighton and Hove Albion v ArsenalUnder 2.5 goals · 3-0
2.06 -1.00u L 20 Sept Manchester City v SunderlandUnder 3.5 goals · 5-3
1.68 -1.00u L 20 Sept Leeds United v Crystal PalaceLeeds United to win · 0-0
2.27 -1.00u L 20 Sept Bournemouth v LiverpoolBournemouth to win · 0-1
3.20 -1.00u L 20 Sept Ried v Wolfsberger ACUnder 2.5 goals · 4-1
2.14 -1.00u L 19 Sept Tottenham Hotspur v Aston VillaUnder 2.5 goals · 2-3
2.11 -1.00u W 19 Sept VfB Stuttgart v Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund to win · 0-1
3.07 +2.07u W 19 Sept Sparta Rotterdam v HeerenveenHeerenveen to win · 0-4
2.76 +1.76u L 19 Sept Ajax v ExcelsiorUnder 3.5 goals · 2-2
1.86 -1.00u L 19 Sept Toulouse v Le HavreUnder 2.5 goals · 3-2
1.93 -1.00u L 20 Sept Fiorentina v NapoliNapoli to win · 1-1
2.27 -1.00u W 20 Sept Auxerre v BrestAuxerre to win · 2-1
2.80 +1.80u L 19 Sept Werder Bremen v AugsburgAugsburg to win · 3-2
2.92 -1.00u W 19 Sept VfB Stuttgart v Borussia DortmundUnder 3.5 goals · 0-1
1.97 +0.97u L 19 Sept Remo v SantosRemo to win · 1-2
2.76 -1.00u L 20 Sept Grêmio v PalmeirasPalmeiras to win · 0-0
2.22 -1.00u W 20 Sept Bournemouth v LiverpoolUnder 3.5 goals · 0-1
1.77 +0.77u W 19 Sept Remo v SantosOver 2.5 goals · 1-2
2.08 +1.08u W 19 Sept Vasco da Gama v CoritibaOver 2.5 goals · 5-0
2.08 +1.08u W 20 Sept Sao Paulo v InternacionalSao Paulo to win · 1-0
2.12 +1.12u L 20 Sept FC Twente Enschede v PSV EindhovenUnder 3.5 goals · 3-2
2.16 -1.00u W 20 Sept Bayer Leverkusen v RB LeipzigUnder 3.5 goals · 2-0
1.95 +0.95u Showing the latest 40 of 1234 settled tips — the rest live on the daily archive pages.
How to read this
Where do these numbers come from?+
Every tip is archived with its odds the moment it is published, then settled automatically against the official final score. Win rate, ROI and profit are computed from those graded bets only — nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
What is a "track"?+
A slice of the same model by market type: match-result picks, totals picks, draw value. Tracks are strategies, not people — we don't invent tipster personas.
What is CLV and why show it?+
Closing-line value compares the price we took with the last price we tracked before kick-off. Beating the close consistently is the standard early sign of a real edge — it converges much faster than ROI. Our snapshots are taken at each daily refresh, so this is the last tracked price rather than the true market close; we label it honestly.
Can the record be negative?+
Yes, and when it is, the page shows it. Betting outcomes swing hard on small samples — that's variance, and it's exactly why the full log stays public while the sample grows.
About this page
This page shows the honest, by-market track record of our own prediction model, broken down so you can see how it performs across match result, totals, and draw value markets separately. There are no tipster personas here, just data from a single model and a fully settled public log you can browse in our tipsters section. Every tip we publish is archived and settled openly, win or lose, which is the core trust promise behind this site. To get the most from it, focus on the markets where the model has shown consistent value rather than treating all picks the same, and compare its reasoning against the current odds. Remember that past performance does not predict future results, so stake within a budget you are comfortable with.
Performance FAQ
How do you track your prediction model's results?+
Every tip the model publishes is logged and settled openly, whether it wins or loses, so nothing is quietly deleted. You can review the full history in our public log and see performance split by market, including match result, totals, and draw value.
Which betting market does your model do best in?+
Performance varies by market, which is exactly why we separate match result, totals, and draw value on this page rather than showing a single blended figure. Check the by-market breakdown to see where the model has been most consistent, and keep in mind that historical results are no guarantee of future outcomes.
Can I actually make money following an AI betting model?+
Betting always carries risk and no model can promise a profit, since results depend on uncertain outcomes. Our aim is to show transparent, settled records so you can judge value for yourself, then decide with a bankroll you can afford to lose.