Line moves in Premier League
League tips →| Match | Market | Opened | Now | Move | Kick-off |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City v Everton | Under 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.81 | +9% | Sun · 13:00 |
| Nottingham Forest v Arsenal | Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 2.00 | +5.8% | Sun · 15:30 |
| Coventry City v Newcastle United | Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.76 | +4.8% | Mon · 19:00 |
| Arsenal v Leeds United | Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.19 | -3.9% | Sat · 11:30 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham | Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.14 | +3.4% | Sat · 14:00 |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.66 | -1.2% | Sun · 15:30 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford | Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.19 | +0.9% | Sat · 14:00 |
| Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace | Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.64 | +0.6% | Sun · 13:00 |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City | Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.64 | +0.6% | Mon · 19:00 |
| Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.98 | +0.5% | Sat · 14:00 |
"Opened" is the first price we tracked for our tip's market, not the bookmaker's true opening line. Snapshots run at pipeline frequency, so moves between refreshes are invisible — treat these as a floor on the real movement.
Reading Premier League line moves
A shortening price is later money agreeing with the pick; a drifting one is the market moving away. Neither is a command — a price that shortened has, by definition, already paid out part of its value to whoever took it early. The practical use is timing: competitions whose lines move a lot between our refreshes reward taking a good price early rather than waiting for kick-off.
Each match links to its full page, where the model's own probability sits next to the odds comparison — the two numbers that decide whether the current price, moved or not, is still worth taking. The aggregate movement patterns across all leagues live in our line-movement study.