Colour scheme
Odds format
Home/Dropping odds/Premier League

Premier League dropping odds

10 tracked prices in Premier League have moved since we first quoted them — 2 shortening, 8 drifting. Shortening odds usually mean money arriving on that outcome.

Snapshots refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work

Line moves in Premier League

League tips →
MatchMarket OpenedNowMoveKick-off
Hull City v Everton Under 2.5 goals 1.66 1.81 +9% Sun · 13:00
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal Over 2.5 goals 1.89 2.00 +5.8% Sun · 15:30
Coventry City v Newcastle United Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.76 +4.8% Mon · 19:00
Arsenal v Leeds United Under 2.5 goals 2.28 2.19 -3.9% Sat · 11:30
Ipswich Town v Fulham Under 2.5 goals 2.07 2.14 +3.4% Sat · 14:00
Liverpool v Manchester City Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.66 -1.2% Sun · 15:30
Aston Villa v Brentford Under 2.5 goals 2.17 2.19 +0.9% Sat · 14:00
Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace Over 2.5 goals 1.63 1.64 +0.6% Sun · 13:00
Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City Over 2.5 goals 1.63 1.64 +0.6% Mon · 19:00
Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion Under 2.5 goals 1.97 1.98 +0.5% Sat · 14:00

"Opened" is the first price we tracked for our tip's market, not the bookmaker's true opening line. Snapshots run at pipeline frequency, so moves between refreshes are invisible — treat these as a floor on the real movement.

Reading Premier League line moves

A shortening price is later money agreeing with the pick; a drifting one is the market moving away. Neither is a command — a price that shortened has, by definition, already paid out part of its value to whoever took it early. The practical use is timing: competitions whose lines move a lot between our refreshes reward taking a good price early rather than waiting for kick-off.

Each match links to its full page, where the model's own probability sits next to the odds comparison — the two numbers that decide whether the current price, moved or not, is still worth taking. The aggregate movement patterns across all leagues live in our line-movement study.

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.