Line moves in Serie A
League tips →| Match | Market | Opened | Now | Move | Kick-off |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan v Parma | Over 3.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.93 | -4% | Sat · 16:00 |
| Como v AS Roma | Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.85 | -2.1% | Sun · 10:30 |
| Genoa v Fiorentina | Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.07 | -0.5% | Sat · 13:00 |
| Cagliari v Juventus | Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 2.00 | +0.5% | Sun · 18:45 |
"Opened" is the first price we tracked for our tip's market, not the bookmaker's true opening line. Snapshots run at pipeline frequency, so moves between refreshes are invisible — treat these as a floor on the real movement.
Reading Serie A line moves
A shortening price is later money agreeing with the pick; a drifting one is the market moving away. Neither is a command — a price that shortened has, by definition, already paid out part of its value to whoever took it early. The practical use is timing: competitions whose lines move a lot between our refreshes reward taking a good price early rather than waiting for kick-off.
Each match links to its full page, where the model's own probability sits next to the odds comparison — the two numbers that decide whether the current price, moved or not, is still worth taking. The aggregate movement patterns across all leagues live in our line-movement study.