English ⚽ Bundesliga 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Draw (X)
Odds
4.00
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
26%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The market makes Hoffenheim narrow favourites at 2.45 (around 41% implied), with Köln at 3.0 (around 33%).
02
The price gap between the two sides is fairly slim, suggesting the bookmakers see a balanced fixture.
03
The draw is available at 4.0, implying roughly a 25% chance of a shared result.
04
Our model rates the draw at a fair probability of 26%, creating a value edge of about 3.6% over the market price.
Team form
1FK 1. FC Köln LDLWL
19 Sept 26 @ HSV 1-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bremen 1-1
4 Sept 26 @ Stuttgart 1-4
29 Aug 26 vs Hoffenheim 3-2
16 May 26 @ Bayern 1-5
TH TSG Hoffenheim WLLLW
12 Sept 26 vs Stuttgart 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Dortmund 2-3
29 Aug 26 @ 1. FC Köln 2-3
16 May 26 @ M'gladbach 0-4
9 May 26 vs Bremen 1-0
Head-to-head: 1. FC Köln v TSG Hoffenheim
Full H2H history → W 29 Aug 26
1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
D 21 Feb 26
1. FC Köln 2-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
W 3 Oct 25
Hoffenheim 0-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W/D/L shown from 1. FC Köln's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
1. FC Köln vs TSG Hoffenheim: pre-match preview
This Bundesliga meeting sees 1. FC Köln host TSG Hoffenheim, with the market leaning towards the visitors. Hoffenheim are the shorter price at 2.45, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while Köln at 3.0 sit at around 33%. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers view as competitive rather than one-sided, with the away side only a modest favourite on home soil. The draw is priced at 4.0, implying about a 25% chance of the spoils being shared. Our model, however, rates the stalemate slightly higher, at a fair probability of 26%, which nudges the 4.0 price into value territory. That is where our recommended bet lands: backing the Draw at Coolbet, where the model identifies a small edge over the market consensus. It is a selection built on pricing rather than certainty, so treat it accordingly.
Verdict: The recommended bet is the Draw at 4.0 with Coolbet, supported by a small 3.6% value edge over the market. With an implied probability of only around 26%, this is a lower-likelihood outcome, so it carries meaningful risk. Stake sensibly and treat it as a value play, not a likely result.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 29 Aug 26
TSG Hoffenheim to winBundesliga
2.45 0.00u Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs TSG Hoffenheim?+
Our tip was Draw (X) at odds of 4.00.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).