English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Aalesund to win
Odds
2.95
LostResult
5-5Final score
-1.00uProfit
36%Pre-match conf.
+1.72%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Nordic Bet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vålerenga are the narrow favourites at 2.45 (about 41% implied), edging Aalesund at 2.78 (about 36%).
02
The gap between the two sides is small, reflecting a market that sees this as a competitive matchup.
03
The draw is priced at 4.1 with Nordic Bet, roughly a 24% implied chance.
04
The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.02 carries a negative value edge of -3.98%, so the price does not offer an edge over fair value.
Team form
AAL Aalesund WLWLD
19 Sept 26 @ Molde 2-1
13 Sept 26 @ KFUM 1-2
4 Sept 26 vs IK Start 2-0
30 Aug 26 @ Viking FK 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs Vålerenga 5-5
VÅL Vålerenga DLDLD
20 Sept 26 vs Fredrikstad FK 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Lillestrom 0-2
6 Sept 26 @ Sarpsborg FK 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Molde 3-4
16 Aug 26 @ Aalesund 5-5
Head-to-head: Aalesund v Vålerenga
D 16 Aug 26
Aalesund 5-5 VålerengaEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Aalesund's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Aalesund vs Vålerenga: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien fixture pits Aalesund against Vålerenga in a match the market reads as genuinely close. Vålerenga are marginal favourites at 2.45 with Unibet (NL), which translates to roughly a 41% implied chance, while Aalesund are priced at 2.78 with Pinnacle, or about 36%. The draw sits at 4.1 with Nordic Bet, around 24% implied. Those numbers describe a contest without a clear standout, with only a modest lean toward the visitors. Our model's attention falls on the goals market rather than the result: Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.02 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 48%. Importantly, that line shows a negative value edge of roughly -3.98%, meaning the price does not beat the model's estimate of fair value here. It is a preview built on tight pricing, so expectations should be measured for both Aalesund and Vålerenga.
Verdict: The highlighted play is Over 3.5 goals at 2.02, with model-implied confidence near 48%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.98%, meaning the price is unfavourable versus fair value. Treat this as a higher-risk, no-edge selection and stake responsibly within your bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 5-5, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Aalesund vs Vålerenga?+
Our tip was Aalesund to win at odds of 2.95.
Who is the favourite, Aalesund or Vålerenga?+
Vålerenga are the slight favourites at 2.45, implying roughly a 41% chance, compared with Aalesund at 2.78, around 36%. The margin between them is narrow.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 4.1 with Nordic Bet, which implies about a 24% chance of the game ending level.
Is there value in the recommended bet?+
Not by our model's read. Over 3.5 goals at 2.02 shows a negative value edge of about -3.98%, so the price does not exceed the estimated fair value, and no value picks cleared our threshold for this fixture.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 5-5 (-1.00u at flat stakes).