English ⚽ Süper Lig 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.95
LostResult
2-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
+2.63%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Nordic Bet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Alanyaspor are priced as favourites at 2.53, implying close to 39.5% win probability, only modestly ahead of Goztepe's 34.5% implied chance at 2.9.
02
The draw at 3.75 implies roughly 26.7%, while the model's fair probability estimate of 28% points to a 6.12% edge on that outcome.
03
The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.95, with the model assigning 56% confidence and a 9.81% value edge, the largest edge identified in this preview.
04
The tight spread across all three match-result outcomes reflects a competitive fixture without a dominant market favourite.
Team form
ALA Alanyaspor WDWLW
19 Sept 26 @ Çorum FK 2-1
12 Sept 26 vs Goztepe 2-2
7 Sept 26 @ Çaykur Rizespor 1-0
30 Aug 26 @ Eyüpspor 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Besiktas JK 1-0
GOZ Goztepe DLLD
12 Sept 26 @ Alanyaspor 2-2
7 Sept 26 vs Gazişehir Gaziantep 2-4
23 Aug 26 vs Genclerbirligi SK 0-1
17 Aug 26 @ Samsunspor 3-3
Head-to-head: Alanyaspor v Goztepe
D 12 Sept 26
Alanyaspor 2-2 GoztepeSüper Lig
W/D/L shown from Alanyaspor's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe: pre-match preview
Süper Lig action sees Alanyaspor host Goztepe, with the betting market casting Alanyaspor as narrow favourites at 2.53 with 1xBet, a price that implies roughly a 39.5% chance of a home win. Goztepe sit at 2.9 with Coolbet, translating to about 34.5%, while the draw is quoted at 3.75 with Nordic Bet, implying around 26.7%. The gap between the two teams is modest, suggesting the market sees this as a fairly even contest rather than a one-sided affair. Away from the match-result market, our model flags value in the goals market, recommending Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 with Nordic Bet, a price it rates as offering meaningful value based on its 56% confidence read. The draw also stands out as a value angle given its longer price relative to the model's fair probability estimate.
Verdict: The standout angle here is Under 2.5 goals at 1.95, backed by a 9.81% edge and 56% model confidence, suggesting the market may be underpricing a lower-scoring outcome. It is not a certainty, though, and the draw's 6.12% edge offers a secondary consideration for those spreading risk.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 12 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 2-2
1.63 -1.00u Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:00 | Amed SK v Besiktas JK | 1.01 | 80.00 | 300.00 |
| 20 Sept 17:01 | Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor | 250.00 | 12.75 | 5.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.
Who is favourite in Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?+
Alanyaspor are the marginal market favourites at 2.53 with 1xBet, implying about a 39.5% win chance, compared with Goztepe's 34.5% implied probability at 2.9 with Coolbet.
What is the draw priced at for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?+
The draw is available at 3.75 with Nordic Bet, implying roughly a 26.7% chance, and the model's fair probability estimate of 28% suggests a 6.12% value edge on that price.
Is there value in this Süper Lig fixture?+
Based on the data, the clearest value lies in Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 with Nordic Bet, carrying a 9.81% edge and 56% model confidence, alongside a smaller edge on the draw at 3.75.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).