English ⚽ Liga MX 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.0 goals
Odds
1.74
VoidResult
3-0Final score
0.00uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
América at 1.6 imply about a 63% chance of winning, making them strong favourites over Atlético San Luis.
02
Atlético San Luis at 5.4 sit near 19% implied probability, while the draw at 4.3 implies roughly 23%.
03
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.98 has a market-implied confidence of about 48%.
04
That total-goals pick shows a negative value edge of -5.71%, so it does not clear a positive-value threshold.
05
No value picks exceeded the threshold against market consensus for this fixture.
Team form
AMÉ América DLWWW
20 Sept 26 vs Guadalajara 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ Cruz Azul 3-4
22 Aug 26 @ FC Juárez 2-1
16 Aug 26 vs Atlético San Luis 3-0
2 Aug 26 vs Santos Laguna 3-0
ASL Atlético San Luis WLLWD
19 Sept 26 vs Necaxa 3-1
15 Sept 26 @ León 0-2
5 Sept 26 vs Guadalajara 0-3
31 Aug 26 @ Monterrey 3-1
23 Aug 26 vs Pachuca 1-1
Head-to-head: América v Atlético San Luis
W 16 Aug 26
América 3-0 Atlético San LuisLiga MX
W/D/L shown from América's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
América vs Atlético San Luis: pre-match preview
Liga MX brings América against Atlético San Luis, and the market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. América are priced at 1.6, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 63%, marking them as clear home favourites. Atlético San Luis are the outsiders at 5.4, or around 19% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 4.3, implying about 23%. Those figures point to a contest the bookmakers expect América to control, though the visitors' price reflects a real, if modest, chance of an upset. Our model does not focus on the match result here. Instead it leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 3.0 goals at 1.98 with Coolbet, tied to a market-implied confidence of around 48%. Notably, that pick carries a negative value edge of -5.71%, so it is a lean rather than a standout opportunity in this fixture.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 3.0 goals at 1.98, priced near a coin flip at roughly 48% confidence. With a negative value edge of -5.71%, this is a marginal call rather than a strong edge, so treat it cautiously and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 3-0, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
All Liga MX tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 01:00 | Atlante FC v Monterrey | 3.81 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for América vs Atlético San Luis?+
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.74.
Who is the favourite for América vs Atlético San Luis?+
América are the favourites at 1.6, implying about a 63% chance of victory. Atlético San Luis are the outsiders at 5.4, around 19% implied probability.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.3 with Coolbet, which corresponds to an implied probability of roughly 23%.
Is there any value in this match?+
No value picks cleared the threshold against market consensus. The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.98 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.71%, making it a marginal lean rather than a value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided — final score 3-0 (0.00u at flat stakes).