English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Angers to win
Odds
5.40
LostResult
0-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
19%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The price gap is wide: Lille at 1.72 (about 58% implied) against Angers at 5.4 (about 19% implied), so Lille are firm favourites.
02
The draw at 4.04 implies roughly a 25% chance, sitting between the two match-result outcomes.
03
Our model rates Angers at a fair probability of 19% with a value edge near 3.01% versus the best available 5.4.
04
The recommended bet is a value-driven underdog selection, not a reflection of Angers being expected to win outright.
Team form
ANG Angers WDLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Troyes 2-0
12 Sept 26 @ Le Havre 0-0
6 Sept 26 vs Stade Rennais 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Auxerre 3-1
23 Aug 26 vs Lille 0-2
LIL Lille LWWDW
20 Sept 26 @ Nice 1-2
13 Sept 26 vs Troyes 2-0
3 Sept 26 @ Toulouse 1-0
28 Aug 26 vs PSG 2-2
23 Aug 26 @ Angers SCO 2-0
Head-to-head: Angers v Lille
Full H2H history → L 23 Aug 26
Angers SCO 0-2 LilleLigue 1
L 22 Feb 26
Angers SCO 0-1 LilleLigue 1
L 2 Nov 25
Lille 1-0 Angers SCOLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Angers's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Angers vs Lille: pre-match preview
This Ligue 1 fixture sends Angers up against Lille, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. Lille are priced at 1.72 with 1xBet, which translates to roughly a 58% implied chance before margin, marking them as clear favourites on the day. Angers, meanwhile, sit at a best price of 5.4 with Betfair, an implied probability of around 19% that reflects their status as underdogs. The draw is quoted at 4.04, pointing to a stalemate probability near 25%. Our model, however, sees a little more merit in the home side than the market allows, flagging Angers at 5.4 with a fair probability of 19% and a value edge of about 3.01%. That is where the recommended bet sits: an underdog play backed by a modest edge rather than by any expectation of a comfortable result.
Verdict: The recommendation is Angers to win at 5.4 with Betfair, supported by a small value edge of around 3.01%. This is a high-risk underdog pick, since the market prices Angers at only about 19% to win. Treat it as a value play, stake responsibly and accept that the likelier outcome favours Lille.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 23 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-2
1.90 +0.90u Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Angers vs Lille?+
Our tip was Angers to win at odds of 5.40.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).