English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.87
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
-17.98%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Roma are the market favourites at 2.25 (about 44% implied), with Atalanta the outsiders at 3.58 (about 28%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.42, roughly 29% implied, close to Atalanta's chances and underlining a balanced matchup.
03
Our recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.87, with a market-implied confidence near 55% and a small value edge of 3.23%.
04
No value picks cleared the threshold in the match-result market, so the edge sits with the goals line rather than the outcome.
Team form
AR AS Roma DWWWW
19 Sept 26 vs Inter 2-2
14 Sept 26 @ Torino 2-0
5 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-1
31 Aug 26 @ Lecce 4-0
24 Aug 26 vs Fiorentina 4-0
AB Atalanta BC LLLWW
20 Sept 26 @ Juventus 0-2
12 Sept 26 vs Cagliari 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Roma 1-2
31 Aug 26 vs Bologna 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs Sassuolo 2-1
Head-to-head: AS Roma v Atalanta BC
Full H2H history → W 5 Sept 26
Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
D 18 Apr 26
Roma 1-1 AtalantaSerie A
L 3 Jan 26
Atalanta 1-0 RomaSerie A
W/D/L shown from AS Roma's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
AS Roma vs Atalanta BC: pre-match preview
This Serie A meeting between AS Roma and Atalanta BC sees the hosts installed as favourites at 1xBet, priced at 2.25 to take all three points. That equates to a market-implied probability of roughly 44%, marking Roma as the preferred side but far from a runaway pick. Atalanta are the outsiders at 3.58, or about 28% in implied terms, while the draw sits at 3.42, close to 29%. The spread between the two teams is meaningful without being dramatic, which points to a contest the market rates as competitive rather than one-sided. Our model, however, steps away from the result market and instead favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.87, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 55% and a modest value edge of 3.23%. That reflects a lean toward a tighter, lower-scoring affair rather than a firm view on the winner.
Verdict: The lean here is Under 2.5 goals at 1.87, supported by around 55% implied confidence and a slim 3.23% edge. It is a modest-value play rather than a standout, so treat it as a measured selection. Stake responsibly and keep the small margin in mind.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for AS Roma vs Atalanta BC?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.87.
Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Atalanta BC?+
AS Roma are the market favourites at 2.25, which implies roughly a 44% chance. Atalanta BC are the outsiders at 3.58, around 28% in implied terms.
What are the draw odds for this Serie A fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.42 with 1xBet, equating to an implied probability of about 29%. That is close to Atalanta's rated chance, reflecting a fairly balanced game.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 as the value pick, with a market-implied confidence around 55% and a small edge of 3.23%. No selections in the match-result market cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).