English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 31 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.13
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.13uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
+2.4%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Atalanta are favourites at 1.91, an implied probability of around 52%, though that is far from a commanding edge.
02
Bologna's 4.3 price implies roughly 23%, and the draw at 3.86 sits close behind at about 26%, so the market keeps both alternatives live.
03
The recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 2.13, shows a value edge of about 7.38% against the market line.
04
With the model's confidence at 50%, this pick is effectively a coin-flip proposition where the edge comes from the price, not certainty.
Team form
AB Atalanta BC LLLWW
20 Sept 26 @ Juventus 0-2
12 Sept 26 vs Cagliari 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Roma 1-2
31 Aug 26 vs Bologna 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs Sassuolo 2-1
BOL Bologna DLDLL
19 Sept 26 vs Torino 1-1
13 Sept 26 @ Napoli 0-1
6 Sept 26 vs Sassuolo 2-2
31 Aug 26 @ Atalanta 0-1
24 Aug 26 vs Lazio 0-1
Head-to-head: Atalanta BC v Bologna
Full H2H history → W 31 Aug 26
Atalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
L 17 May 26
Atalanta 0-1 BolognaSerie A
W 7 Jan 26
Bologna 0-2 AtalantaSerie A
W/D/L shown from Atalanta BC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Atalanta BC vs Bologna: pre-match preview
Atalanta host Bologna in this Serie A clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Atalanta are priced at 1.91, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 52%, marking them as clear home favourites without being overwhelming. Bologna sit at 4.3, implying around 23%, while the draw is offered at 3.86, worth about 26% in probability terms. That spread points to a contest the bookmakers see leaning Atalanta's way, but with enough room for the visitors or a stalemate to complicate things. Rather than backing the result, our model steers toward the goals market. The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.13, carrying an estimated 50% confidence and a value edge of about 7.38% over the market line. It suggests the total, not the winner, is where the pricing looks most favourable in this fixture.
Verdict: Our recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 2.13, backed by a 7.38% value edge over the market. With confidence at just 50%, treat it as a fine-margin call justified by price rather than a strong lean. Stake responsibly and keep the outcome's uncertainty in mind.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.13 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Atalanta BC vs Bologna?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.13.
Who is the favourite in Atalanta vs Bologna?+
Atalanta are the favourites at 1.91, which implies about a 52% chance. Bologna are longer priced at 4.3, roughly 23% in probability terms.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.86 with 1xBet, implying around a 26% probability, which places it just ahead of a Bologna win in the market's view.
Is there any value bet for this match?+
Our model highlights Under 2.5 goals at 2.13 as the value pick, with an estimated edge of about 7.38%. No match-result selection cleared our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.13u at flat stakes).