English ⚽ Liga MX 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.96
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
53%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Atlas are the favourite at 2.05, implying about a 49% chance, but that is far from a commanding margin.
02
Querétaro at 3.3 (roughly 30%) and the draw at 3.35 (also near 30%) are priced almost level, suggesting a tight fixture.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.83 has a market-implied confidence of about 51%, close to a coin flip.
04
The value edge on the Over is -7.51%, meaning the price offers no positive edge against the market by our model.
Team form
ATL Atlas DLDWW
19 Sept 26 vs Pumas 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Toluca 2-5
6 Sept 26 vs Atlante FC 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ Cruz Azul 2-0
16 Aug 26 vs Tigres 2-1
QUE Querétaro WLDW
12 Sept 26 @ Tijuana 1-0
22 Aug 26 vs Toluca 1-2
16 Aug 26 @ Pumas 0-0
1 Aug 26 vs Tigres 3-2
Atlas vs Querétaro: pre-match preview
Atlas host Querétaro in this Liga MX fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. Atlas are priced at 2.05, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 49%, marking them as the favourite without making them an overwhelming one. Querétaro sit at 3.3 (about 30% implied), while the draw is close behind at 3.35 (near 30%). Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers see as competitive rather than one-sided, with the away win and the stalemate priced almost identically. Our model steers away from the match result and instead flags the Over 2.5 goals line at 1.83, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 51%. It is worth noting that this selection currently shows a negative value edge of -7.51%, so it is a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it as a modest angle on this Atlas versus Querétaro meeting.
Verdict: Our model prefers Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, roughly a 51% implied shot. Be aware the value edge is negative at -7.51%, so this is a low-conviction lean rather than a priced advantage. Approach it as a modest interest bet and stake responsibly within your bankroll.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
All Liga MX tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 01:00 | Atlante FC v Monterrey | 3.81 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Atlas vs Querétaro?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.96.
Who is the favourite for Atlas vs Querétaro?+
Atlas are the favourite at 2.05, implying about a 49% chance. Querétaro are the outsiders at 3.3, around 30% implied.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.35, an implied probability of roughly 30%, almost identical to Querétaro's away-win price.
Is there any value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 actually shows a negative edge of -7.51%, so treat it as a lean rather than a value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).