English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 15 Aug 2026
Our tip
Atletico Paranaense to win
Odds
2.11
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
49%Pre-match conf.
+0.48%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Atletico Paranaense are the market favourites at 2.11, implying about a 47% chance, well ahead of Bragantino-SP at 3.75 (roughly 27%).
02
The draw is priced competitively at 3.4, around a 29% implied probability, sitting close to the away side's chances.
03
Our model's recommended bet, Atletico Paranaense to win, carries a modest value edge of 3.09% with a market-implied confidence of 49%.
04
No value picks cleared our threshold against the market consensus, underlining that the edge here is slim rather than pronounced.
Team form
AP Atletico Paranaense DLDWD
12 Sept 26 @ Coritiba 3-3
6 Sept 26 @ Cruzeiro 1-3
30 Aug 26 vs Fluminense 3-3
24 Aug 26 @ Botafogo 3-2
15 Aug 26 vs Bragantino 1-1
BRA Bragantino-SP DLLWD
12 Sept 26 @ Botafogo 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs Bahia 2-3
29 Aug 26 @ São Paulo 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Grêmio 1-0
15 Aug 26 @ Paranaense 1-1
Head-to-head: Atletico Paranaense v Bragantino-SP
Full H2H history → D 15 Aug 26
Paranaense 1-1 BragantinoBrasileirão
D 25 Feb 26
Bragantino 1-1 ParanaenseBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino-SP: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão fixture pits Atletico Paranaense against Bragantino-SP, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Atletico Paranaense are priced at 2.11 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 47%, marking them as clear home favourites. Bragantino-SP, by contrast, sit out at 3.75, or around 27% in implied terms, reflecting the market's view of them as underdogs on the road. The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, worth about 29% implied. Our model leans towards Atletico Paranaense to win at 2.11, assigning a market-implied confidence of 49% and flagging a modest value edge of 3.09% over the price on offer. That edge is slim rather than emphatic, so this is a lean on the favourite rather than a standout opportunity in the Brazilian top flight.
Verdict: The recommended play is Atletico Paranaense to win at 2.11, backed by a small 3.09% value edge and near-even implied confidence. It is a reasonable lean on the home favourite, but with prices this tight it carries real risk. Stake responsibly and treat it as a modest-value pick.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino-SP?+
Our tip was Atletico Paranaense to win at odds of 2.11.
Who is the favourite for Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino-SP?+
Atletico Paranaense are the favourites at 2.11 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 47% chance. Bragantino-SP are the underdogs at 3.75, around 27% implied.
What are the odds for a draw in this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which equates to a market-implied probability of about 29%.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model flags a modest value edge of 3.09% on Atletico Paranaense to win at 2.11, with implied confidence of 49%. No selections cleared our higher value threshold, so the edge is slim.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).