English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 8 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 0.5 goals
Odds
1.36
WonResult
1-2Final score
+0.36uProfit
76%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Atlético Tucuman are firm favourites at 1.82 (about 55% implied), well clear of Sarmiento at 5.08 (around 20%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.25, implying roughly a 31% chance and reflecting a competitive rather than one-sided expectation.
03
Our model rates Sarmiento's fair probability at 28% versus a market implying less, producing the largest value edge at 43.2%.
04
The recommended Under 1.5 goals at 2.42 carries a negative value edge of -5.15%, so it is a model-preferred angle rather than a pricing bargain.
Team form
AT Atlético Tucuman LWDWL
12 Sept 26 vs River Plate 1-2
7 Sept 26 @ Racing Club 2-1
22 Aug 26 vs Instituto de Córdoba 0-0
17 Aug 26 @ Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1-0
8 Aug 26 vs Sarmiento de Junin 1-2
SDJ Sarmiento de Junin LDWWW
19 Sept 26 @ Racing Club 1-3
13 Sept 26 vs Belgrano de Cordoba 1-1
4 Sept 26 @ Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2-0
23 Aug 26 vs Estudiantes 2-0
16 Aug 26 vs Atlético Huracán 2-0
Head-to-head: Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin
L 8 Aug 26
Atlético Tucuman 1-2 Sarmiento de JuninLiga Profesional
W/D/L shown from Atlético Tucuman's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Atlético Tucuman vs Sarmiento de Junin: pre-match preview
Atlético Tucuman host Sarmiento de Junin in this Liga Profesional fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Atlético are priced at 1.82, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 55%, marking them as clear home favourites. Sarmiento sit as sizeable outsiders at 5.08, implying only around 20% before the margin is stripped out, while the draw at 3.25 reflects a chance near 31%. So the bookmakers see a controlled home advantage rather than a certainty. Our model, however, steers away from a straight result call and lands on Under 1.5 goals at 2.42, with market-implied confidence of about 39%. Notably the value flags fall on the away side and the draw, where our fair probabilities exceed the market's, suggesting the underdog and stalemate outcomes may be underestimated. Read the numbers below before staking, and keep any bet within a sensible bankroll.
Verdict: The model's pick is Under 1.5 goals at 2.42, backing a low-scoring contest with market-implied confidence near 39%. Its value edge is negative at -5.15%, so treat this as a lean rather than a strong price. The standout value figures actually sit with Sarmiento and the draw.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.36 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Atlético Tucuman vs Sarmiento de Junin?+
Our tip was Over 0.5 goals at odds of 1.36.
Who is the favourite for Atlético Tucuman vs Sarmiento de Junin?+
Atlético Tucuman are the favourites at 1.82, an implied probability of about 55%. Sarmiento de Junin are outsiders at 5.08, roughly 20%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.25 with 1xBet, which implies a chance of around 31%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
According to our model, yes on the outsiders: Sarmiento carries a 43.2% edge at 5.08 and the draw an 11.49% edge at 3.25. The recommended Under 1.5 goals pick, by contrast, shows a negative edge of -5.15%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+0.36u at flat stakes).