Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Wolfsberger AC are the favourites at 2.03, translating to roughly a 49% implied probability of winning.
Austria Lustenau at 3.75 (about 27%) are the outsiders, with the draw priced at 3.5 (around 29%), making a stalemate slightly more likely than a home win in the market's eyes.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 carries a market-implied confidence of 49% but a negative value edge of -3.83%.
No value picks cleared the threshold against market consensus, suggesting the odds are broadly efficient for this fixture.
Team form
Head-to-head: Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC
W/D/L shown from Austria Lustenau's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC: pre-match preview
Wolfsberger AC travel to face Austria Lustenau in this Austrian Bundesliga fixture as the market's clear favourite. At best available odds of 2.03, Wolfsberger AC are priced at roughly a 49% implied chance of taking the three points, while Austria Lustenau at 3.75 sit closer to 27% and the draw at 3.5 reflects around 29%. Those numbers point to an away side favoured but far from dominant, with the gap between the three outcomes leaving room for the game to swing either way. Rather than backing the match result, our model looks to the goals market here, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.98. That price implies about a 49% likelihood of at least three goals. It is worth noting the model flags a slightly negative value edge on this pick, so it reads more as a lean than a standout opportunity in this Lustenau versus Wolfsberger meeting.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.98, reflecting a near coin-flip on three or more goals. With a negative value edge of -3.83%, it is best treated as a modest lean rather than a strong edge. Stake responsibly and keep it within your usual bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.43 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Austria Lustenau to win at odds of 1.43.
Wolfsberger AC are the favourites at best odds of 2.03, implying roughly a 49% chance of winning. Austria Lustenau are outsiders at 3.75, around 27%.
The draw is priced at 3.5, which implies approximately a 29% probability. That makes a draw marginally more likely than an Austria Lustenau win according to the market.
Our model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 as its recommended bet, but with a value edge of -3.83% it does not represent positive value. No picks cleared the value threshold, so the market looks efficient here.
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+0.43u at flat stakes).