Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
LASK are the market favourites at 2.11 (about 47% implied), ahead of Austria Wien at 3.5 (about 29%).
The draw is priced at 3.64, roughly a 27% implied probability, pointing to a fairly balanced match in the bookmakers' eyes.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.93 sits at around 50% implied probability, essentially a coin flip.
No value picks cleared our threshold here, and the recommended goals bet carries a negative edge of -3.75%.
Team form
Head-to-head: Austria Wien v LASK
W/D/L shown from Austria Wien's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Austria Wien vs LASK: pre-match preview
This Austrian Bundesliga clash sees Austria Wien host LASK, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. LASK are priced at 2.11 with Pinnacle, implying roughly a 47% chance of victory, while Austria Wien sit at 3.5, translating to about 29%. The draw is quoted at 3.64, close to a 27% implied probability, underlining a contest the bookmakers view as reasonably open despite LASK's edge. Rather than back a side, our model focuses on the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 with Pinnacle. That price reflects a near coin-flip at around 50% implied probability. Worth noting up front: the model's value edge on this selection is negative at -3.75%, meaning it does not clear our value threshold. So this is offered as a lean based on the numbers rather than a standout value spot in the Austria Wien versus LASK meeting.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.93, a near 50/50 proposition by the odds. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.75%, so this does not qualify as a value bet by our own standard. Treat it as a modest lean and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83.
LASK are the favourites at 2.11 with Pinnacle, implying roughly a 47% chance. Austria Wien are priced at 3.5, around 29% implied.
The draw is quoted at 3.64 with Pinnacle, which corresponds to about a 27% implied probability.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 actually carries a negative edge of -3.75%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).