English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.84
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
+1.66%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Auxerre are clear favourites at 1.85, with the market implying roughly a 54% win probability against Angers' 23%.
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying around a 28% chance, consistent with a competitive, potentially tight encounter.
03
The Under 2.5 goals recommendation sits at 1.78 with about 53% implied confidence, but shows a negative value edge of -5.38%.
04
Angers at 4.4 carry a positive value edge of 7.05% versus a fair probability estimate of 24%, making them the notable value angle.
Team form
AUX Auxerre WWLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Brest 2-1
12 Sept 26 vs Nice 1-0
4 Sept 26 @ Olympique Lyon 1-3
29 Aug 26 vs Angers SCO 1-3
22 Aug 26 @ RC Lens 2-5
ANG Angers WDLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Troyes 2-0
12 Sept 26 @ Le Havre 0-0
6 Sept 26 vs Stade Rennais 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Auxerre 3-1
23 Aug 26 vs Lille 0-2
Head-to-head: Auxerre v Angers
Full H2H history → L 29 Aug 26
Auxerre 1-3 Angers SCOLigue 1
W 3 May 26
Auxerre 3-1 Angers SCOLigue 1
L 9 Nov 25
Angers SCO 2-0 AuxerreLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Auxerre's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Auxerre vs Angers: pre-match preview
This Ligue 1 clash sees Auxerre host Angers, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Auxerre are priced at 1.85, implying roughly a 54% chance of victory, while Angers drift out to 4.4, translating to around a 23% market probability. The draw sits at 3.6, or about 28% in implied terms, reflecting the kind of tight scoreline that mid-table Ligue 1 fixtures often produce. Our model leans toward a low-scoring game, recommending Under 2.5 goals at 1.78, which carries a market-implied confidence of around 53%. It is worth noting that this particular pick shows a negative value edge of -5.38%, so it is a lean on game shape rather than a price-driven edge. Interestingly, the numbers flag Angers at 4.4 as the standout value angle, with a fair probability of 24% against the market's implied figure. Weigh both directions before committing.
Verdict: The model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.78, backing a low-scoring outcome with modest 53% implied confidence. Be aware it carries a negative value edge, so it reflects expected game shape rather than a priced advantage. Treat it as a moderate-risk lean and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Auxerre vs Angers?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.84.
Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Angers?+
Auxerre are the favourites at 1.85, which implies roughly a 54% chance of winning. Angers are the outsiders at 4.4, or about 23% implied probability.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Tipico, implying approximately a 28% chance of the game finishing level.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
The data flags Angers at 4.4 as the value angle, with a fair probability of 24% and a positive edge of 7.05%. The model's Under 2.5 goals pick, by contrast, shows a negative edge of -5.38%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).