English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Bahia to win
Odds
2.10
WonResult
3-2Final score
+1.10uProfit
51%Pre-match conf.
+3.96%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bahia are favourites at 1.96 (about 51% implied), with Internacional a distant second at 4.12 (about 24%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying roughly a 28% chance of the points being shared.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet sits at 2.03 with market-implied confidence near 47%.
04
That goals pick shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, so the price is slightly worse than fair value by our model.
Team form
BAH Bahia WWWWD
14 Sept 26 vs Clube do Remo 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Bragantino 3-2
30 Aug 26 vs Internacional 3-2
23 Aug 26 @ Vitória 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Chapecoense 3-3
INT Internacional LWLLD
20 Sept 26 @ São Paulo 0-1
12 Sept 26 @ Chapecoense 2-1
6 Sept 26 vs Santos 2-3
30 Aug 26 @ Bahia 2-3
22 Aug 26 vs Mineiro 0-0
Head-to-head: Bahia v Internacional
Full H2H history → W 30 Aug 26
Bahia 3-2 InternacionalBrasileirão
W 15 Mar 26
Internacional 0-1 BahiaBrasileirão
D 8 Nov 25
Internacional 2-2 BahiaBrasileirão
W 22 Oct 25
Bahia 1-0 InternacionalBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Bahia's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bahia vs Internacional: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash sends Bahia out as clear home favourites against Internacional, and the market makes that stance plain. At a best price of 1.96, Bahia are priced at roughly a 51% implied chance, while Internacional drift out to 4.12, translating to around 24%. The draw sits at 3.6, or about 28% in probability terms. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers expect Bahia to edge, though the visitors' price still leaves room for an upset. Our model steps away from the match-result line entirely and instead looks at goals, recommending Over 2.5 at 2.03 with a market-implied confidence of about 47%. Notably, that pick carries a negative value edge of -4.04%, meaning the price does not currently offer an advantage over the market's own read. It is a preview built on the odds rather than any claimed inside information on either side.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 2.5 goals at 2.03, a near coin-flip at roughly 47% implied. Be aware the -4.04% edge means no pricing advantage here, so treat it as a modest-confidence angle rather than a standout play, and stake within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of +1.10 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 30 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 3-2
1.94 -1.00u Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Bahia vs Internacional?+
Our tip was Bahia to win at odds of 2.10.
Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Internacional?+
Bahia are the favourites at a best price of 1.96, implying about a 51% chance. Internacional are the outsiders at 4.12, around 24%.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is available at 3.6 with Coolbet, which works out to roughly a 28% implied probability.
Is there value in this fixture?+
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 actually shows a negative edge of -4.04%, meaning the price is marginally below fair value.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-2 (+1.10u at flat stakes).