Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Bahia's 1.5 odds imply roughly 67% win probability, making them heavy favourites over Remo in this Brasileirão meeting.
Remo's 7.0 price implies just under 14% chance of victory, reflecting a significant gap in market expectation between the two sides.
The draw is priced at 4.3 (about 23% implied), a live but secondary outcome given the scale of the favourite's odds.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.93 carries a market-implied confidence of 49% and a negative value edge of -5.54%, indicating it is not a standout statistical value play.
Team form
Head-to-head: Bahia v Remo
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Bahia's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bahia vs Remo: pre-match preview
Bahia head into this Brasileirão fixture against Remo as clear favourites according to the betting market. William Hill's price of 1.5 on a home win implies a probability of roughly 67%, a strong reflection of how one-sided the bookmakers expect this contest to be. Remo, at odds of 7.0 with Coolbet, are priced at just under 14% to cause an upset, while the draw sits at 4.3, implying around 23%. Rather than backing the outright result, our model points toward the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.93, suggesting this could be a tighter, lower-scoring affair than the price gap between the sides might imply. That said, the model's own confidence reading of 49% and a negative value edge mean this pick should be treated as a measured suggestion rather than a strong statistical edge.
Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 is the model's pick, but with confidence at 49% and a negative edge of -5.54%, this leans more toward a plausible scoreline read than a strong value bet. Treat it as one option among several rather than a high-conviction selection, and size stakes accordingly.
How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.86.
Bahia are strong favourites, priced at 1.5 with William Hill, which implies roughly a 67% chance of winning according to the market.
The draw is priced at 4.3 with Coolbet, implying an approximate 23% probability.
No standout value picks were identified versus market consensus. The model's suggested Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.93 shows a slightly negative value edge of -5.54%, so it should be viewed as a reasonable option rather than a clear edge.
The tip was voided — final score 2-1 (0.00u at flat stakes).