Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Basaksehir are firm favourites at 1.82, an implied probability of about 55%, compared with 5.5 for Kasimpasa SK at roughly 18%.
The recommended bet, Basaksehir to win, carries a market-implied confidence of 58% and a value edge of 5.59% at the 1.82 price.
Despite being outsiders, Kasimpasa SK show the largest value edge at 18.61%, with a fair probability estimated at 22% against a 5.5 price.
The draw is priced at 4.26, implying around 23%, with a modest value edge of 6.09% and a fair probability near 25%.
Team form
Head-to-head: Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK
W/D/L shown from Basaksehir's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa SK: pre-match preview
Basaksehir host Kasimpasa SK in the Süper Lig, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. Basaksehir are priced at 1.82 with Betsson, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 55%, marking them as clear home favourites. Kasimpasa SK are the outsiders at 5.5 with Coolbet, implied at about 18%, while the draw sits at 4.26 with 1xBet, or around 23% in probability terms. Our model leans toward the favourite, recommending Basaksehir to win at 1.82 with a market-implied confidence of 58% and a value edge of 5.59%. That points to a scenario where the home price may slightly understate their chances. It is worth noting the model also flags value elsewhere, particularly on Kasimpasa SK at the longer end, so this fixture offers more than one angle for those weighing the numbers carefully.
Verdict: The recommended play is Basaksehir to win at 1.82, backed by a 58% implied confidence and a 5.59% edge. It is a reasonable favourite-side bet rather than a lock, and upsets happen. Stake responsibly and treat the flagged value on Kasimpasa SK as an alternative angle.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:00 | Amed SK v Besiktas JK | 1.01 | 80.00 | 300.00 |
| 20 Sept 17:01 | Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor | 250.00 | 12.75 | 5.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Basaksehir to win at odds of 1.82.
Basaksehir are the favourites at a best price of 1.82 with Betsson, implying roughly a 55% chance. Kasimpasa SK are outsiders at 5.5, implied at about 18%.
The draw is available at 4.26 with 1xBet, which implies around a 23% probability. Our model estimates a fair probability closer to 25%, giving a small value edge of 6.09%.
Yes, according to our model. The recommended value bet is Basaksehir to win at 1.82 with a 5.59% edge, while Kasimpasa SK at 5.5 shows the largest edge at 18.61%. All values are estimates, not guarantees.
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).