English ⚽ Champions League 🕒 10 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 4.5 goals
Odds
1.86
LostResult
5-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
-13.89%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bayern Munich's 1.17 price implies an approximate 85% win probability, reflecting a very strong market lean.
02
Bodø/Glimt's 18.0 odds translate to roughly 5.5% implied probability, while the draw at 10.5 sits near 9.5%.
03
The bookmakers' implied probabilities sum to just over 100%, indicating a modest standard overround rather than any unusual pricing distortion.
04
The recommended Under 4.5 goals bet at 1.86 carries a 55% implied confidence and a 3.15% value edge, the only selection flagged as offering measurable value in this fixture.
Team form
BM Bayern Munich WDLWW
10 Sept 26 vs Bodø/Glimt 5-0
6 May 26 vs PSG 1-1
28 Apr 26 @ PSG 4-5
15 Apr 26 vs Real Madrid 4-3
7 Apr 26 @ Real Madrid 2-1
BOD Bodø/Glimt LLWWW
10 Sept 26 @ Bayern 0-5
17 Mar 26 @ Sporting CP 0-5
11 Mar 26 vs Sporting CP 3-0
24 Feb 26 @ Inter 2-1
18 Feb 26 vs Inter 3-1
Head-to-head: Bayern Munich v Bodø/Glimt
W 10 Sept 26
Bayern 5-0 Bodø/GlimtChampions League
W/D/L shown from Bayern Munich's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bayern Munich vs Bodø/Glimt: pre-match preview
Bayern Munich host Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League with the odds painting a lopsided picture. Best available prices make Bayern overwhelming favourites at 1.17, which implies a probability of roughly 85% for a home win. Bodø/Glimt, priced at 18.0, are given only about a 5.5% chance by the market, while the draw at 10.5 sits at close to 9.5% implied probability. With the result market so heavily skewed, our model steers away from the outright winner and instead flags value on the total-goals line: Under 4.5 goals at 1.86, carrying a market-implied confidence of 55% and a calculated edge of 3.15%. This suggests the market may be slightly underpricing a lower-scoring outcome relative to how one-sided the head-to-head odds appear, even against a heavy favourite.
Verdict: With the match-result market heavily favouring Bayern Munich, outright bets carry limited value at these prices. The Under 4.5 goals selection at 1.86 offers a modest, data-backed edge of 3.15%, but a 55% confidence level still leaves meaningful uncertainty, so this should be treated as a measured, not high-conviction, angle.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 5-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 10 Sept 26
Under 5.5 goalsfinal score 5-0
1.74 +0.74u Upcoming Champions League fixtures
All Champions League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
UEFA Champions League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Bodø/Glimt?+
Our tip was Under 4.5 goals at odds of 1.86.
Who is favourite in the Bayern Munich vs Bodø/Glimt match?+
Bayern Munich are strong favourites, priced at 1.17, which implies an approximate 85% chance of winning according to the market.
What are the odds on the draw for this Champions League fixture?+
The draw is priced at 10.5 with Betfair, implying a probability of roughly 9.5%.
Is there any betting value identified for this game?+
The model does not flag value in the match-result market, but it highlights Under 4.5 goals at 1.86 as a value pick, with a 55% implied confidence and a 3.15% edge.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 5-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).