English ⚽ Championship 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.84
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
-7.54%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Middlesbrough are the market favourites at 2.3 (about 43% implied), ahead of Blackburn Rovers at 3.16 (about 32%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Codere, implying roughly a 29% chance of the spoils being shared.
03
The gap between the two sides is moderate rather than wide, pointing to a reasonably balanced fixture on paper.
04
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.01 carries a negative value edge of -4.49%, so the price sits slightly against the bettor.
Team form
BR Blackburn Rovers DWLLD
19 Sept 26 @ Portsmouth 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Millwall 3-1
8 Sept 26 vs Sheffield Utd 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Preston NE 1-2
1 Sept 26 @ Lincoln City 0-0
MID Middlesbrough DDWWD
19 Sept 26 @ Birmingham 2-2
15 Sept 26 vs Millwall 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Norwich 4-3
5 Sept 26 @ QPR 1-0
2 Sept 26 @ Burnley 1-1
Head-to-head: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough
Full H2H history → W 22 Aug 26
Blackburn 2-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
D 21 Mar 26
Blackburn 0-0 MiddlesbroughChampionship
D 26 Dec 25
Middlesbrough 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
W/D/L shown from Blackburn Rovers's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough: pre-match preview
This Championship fixture sees Blackburn Rovers host Middlesbrough, with the market clearly leaning toward the visitors. Middlesbrough are priced at 2.3 with Coolbet, implying roughly a 43% chance of victory, while Blackburn sit at 3.16 (Nordic Bet), which translates to about 32%. The draw is quoted at 3.4 with Codere, or around 29% in probability terms. That spread suggests bookmakers view Middlesbrough as favourites, though not overwhelmingly so, leaving room for a competitive contest at Ewood Park. Rather than backing a side outright, our model looks at the goals market: Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.01 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 48%. Notably, this pick shows a negative value edge of -4.49%, meaning the price does not currently offer an edge over the market. Bettors should weigh that carefully before committing any stake to this Blackburn Rovers versus Middlesbrough clash.
Verdict: The model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 2.01, with market-implied confidence near 48%. However, the -4.49% value edge means the price offers no measurable advantage here. Treat this as a marginal, coin-flip-style selection rather than a strong lean, and stake responsibly within your limits.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 19:00 | West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.80 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Swansea City v Norwich City | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City | 2.31 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Charlton Athletic v Bristol City | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Middlesbrough v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.21 | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield United v Lincoln City | 2.03 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Preston North End v Millwall | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.71 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston NE | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.84.
Who is the favourite for Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?+
Middlesbrough are the favourites at 2.3 with Coolbet, which implies about a 43% chance of winning. Blackburn Rovers are priced at 3.16, roughly 32%.
What are the odds for a draw in this match?+
The draw is best priced at 3.4 with Codere (IT), implying approximately a 29% probability of the game ending level.
Is there value in the recommended Over 2.5 goals bet?+
Not currently. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.01 with Coolbet, but it carries a negative value edge of -4.49%, meaning the price does not beat the market's implied assessment.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).