English ⚽ League One 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Blackpool to win
Odds
2.78
LostResult
2-4Final score
-1.00uProfit
37%Pre-match conf.
-0.71%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Best odds make Plymouth Argyle the slight favourite at 2.58 (implied probability about 38.8%), just ahead of Blackpool at 2.7 (about 37.0%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.88, implying roughly 25.8%, but the model's fair probability of 28% gives it a 7.1% edge over the market consensus.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.63 carries 59% model-implied confidence, though its -4.43% value edge means the price offers no clear market advantage.
04
Overall odds are tightly bunched across all three outcomes, reflecting a match the market does not strongly favour either side to control.
Team form
BLA Blackpool LDLLW
19 Sept 26 vs Plymouth Argyle 2-4
12 Sept 26 vs Bromley FC 2-2
5 Sept 26 @ Reading 1-3
2 Sept 26 @ Barnsley 1-2
22 Aug 26 @ Stockport County FC 2-1
PA Plymouth Argyle WWWLD
19 Sept 26 @ Blackpool 4-2
12 Sept 26 vs Barnsley 3-0
5 Sept 26 @ Doncaster Rovers 3-2
1 Sept 26 @ Leicester City 0-2
22 Aug 26 @ Wycombe Wanderers 1-1
Head-to-head: Blackpool v Plymouth Argyle
L 19 Sept 26
Blackpool 2-4 Plymouth ArgyleLeague One
W/D/L shown from Blackpool's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Blackpool vs Plymouth Argyle: pre-match preview
Blackpool host Plymouth Argyle in a League One meeting where the betting market sees little to separate the two sides. Best-priced odds have Plymouth marginally favoured at 2.58 (an implied probability of around 38.8%), with Blackpool close behind at 2.7 (about 37.0%), and the draw available at 3.88 (roughly 25.8% implied). Those numbers point to a fixture the market views as close to a genuine three-way contest rather than a clear favourite situation. Away from the match-result market, our model's recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.63, which carries a model-implied confidence of 59% but shows a negative value edge of -4.43%, suggesting the price is not obviously generous relative to that projection. Separately, the draw stands out as a value price, with a fair probability estimate of 28% against a market-implied 25.8%, an edge of 7.1%.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals selection at 1.63 is the model's headline pick, backed by 59% implied confidence, though the negative value edge means it is not a clear market mispricing. The draw at 3.88 shows a more favourable statistical edge. Both are moderate-risk propositions in a closely priced fixture; stake sizing should reflect that uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-4, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming League One fixtures
All League One tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Wycombe Wanderers v Reading | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.73 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Bradford City v Barnsley | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Cambridge United v Wimbledon | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Notts County v Blackpool | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Blackpool vs Plymouth Argyle?+
Our tip was Blackpool to win at odds of 2.78.
Who is favourite in the Blackpool vs Plymouth Argyle match?+
Based on best available odds, Plymouth Argyle are the slight favourite at 2.58 (implied probability about 38.8%), with Blackpool close behind at 2.7 (about 37.0%). The gap is narrow, so this is not a strongly one-sided market.
What is the draw priced at for this League One fixture?+
The best available price for the draw is 3.88, implying a probability of roughly 25.8%. The model's fair probability estimate is somewhat higher at 28%, giving the draw a 7.1% edge over the market consensus.
Is there value in betting Over 2.5 goals in this game?+
The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 with 59% implied confidence, but it carries a negative value edge of -4.43%, meaning the price does not clearly favour bettors relative to the model's projection.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-4 (-1.00u at flat stakes).