Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
The match-result market strongly favours Bodø/Glimt at 1.34 (about 75% implied), with Rosenborg out at 8.2 (roughly 12%).
The draw is priced at 5.78, implying around 17%, though our model's fair probability of 21% suggests a notable 19.96% value edge there.
Our recommended pick, Under 3.5 goals at 1.99, shows a 4.56% value edge with roughly 53% implied confidence.
The wide price gap reflects a heavily one-sided market, which is why the goals total may offer steadier value than the outright winner.
Team form
Head-to-head: Bodø/Glimt v Rosenborg
W/D/L shown from Bodø/Glimt's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bodø/Glimt vs Rosenborg: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien meeting sees Bodø/Glimt hosting Rosenborg as clear market favourites. At a best price of 1.34, Bodø/Glimt are priced with an implied probability of around 75%, marking them as strong favourites according to the odds. Rosenborg, by contrast, are a long shot at 8.2, which translates to roughly 12% implied probability, while the draw sits at 5.78 (about 17%). The gap between the two sides is substantial in the eyes of the market. Rather than backing a heavily odds-on favourite, our model instead leans toward the goals market, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.99. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 53% and a modest value edge of 4.56%, suggesting the total-goals angle may offer better relative value than the lopsided match-result prices in this fixture between Bodø/Glimt and Rosenborg.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.99, backed by a 4.56% value edge and around 53% implied confidence. This is a moderate-risk selection close to even money, offering better relative value than the lopsided match-result prices. As always, stake responsibly and treat the edge as an estimate, not a certainty.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.99.
Bodø/Glimt are the clear favourites at a best price of 1.34, which implies roughly a 75% chance. Rosenborg are the outsiders at 8.2, around 12% implied probability.
The draw is available at a best price of 5.78, implying about a 17% chance. Our model rates its fair probability slightly higher at 21%, pointing to a possible value edge.
Our model highlights Under 3.5 goals at 1.99 with a 4.56% edge as the recommended bet, and also flags the draw at 5.78 as carrying a 19.96% edge versus its fair probability. Both are estimates, so outcomes remain uncertain.
The tip lost — final score 4-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).