English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 14 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
2.21
LostResult
3-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
-3.07%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bodø/Glimt's 1.13 price implies an win probability near 88-89 percent, reflecting a strong market-side favourite.
02
Sandefjord's 19.5 odds and the draw's 9.8 odds both point to low implied probabilities (roughly 5 percent and 10 percent respectively), typical of a heavily one-sided match-result market.
03
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 2.21 carries a 50 percent implied confidence level alongside an 11.42 percent value edge, suggesting the model sees mispricing there rather than in the win markets.
04
No additional value picks cleared the threshold versus market consensus, indicating the outright result markets are viewed as fairly priced relative to the model.
Team form
BOD Bodø/Glimt WWWW
14 Sept 26 vs Sandefjord 3-2
4 Sept 26 @ Fredrikstad FK 2-1
30 Aug 26 vs Rosenborg 4-2
8 Aug 26 @ Vålerenga 2-1
SAN Sandefjord WLDDW
20 Sept 26 vs IK Start 3-0
14 Sept 26 @ Bodø/Glimt 2-3
4 Sept 26 vs Viking FK 1-1
30 Aug 26 vs SK Brann 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Sarpsborg FK 2-1
Head-to-head: Bodø/Glimt v Sandefjord
W 14 Sept 26
Bodø/Glimt 3-2 SandefjordEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Bodø/Glimt's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bodø/Glimt vs Sandefjord: pre-match preview
Bodø/Glimt host Sandefjord in an Eliteserien fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Bodø/Glimt are priced at 1.13, which implies a win probability of roughly 88-89 percent, making them overwhelming favourites on paper. Sandefjord sit at 19.5 (around 5 percent implied), while the draw is quoted at 9.8, translating to roughly 10 percent. These figures point to a lopsided contest where backing the outright winner offers little in the way of value given the short price. Instead, our model steers away from the match-result market entirely and highlights the Under 3.5 goals line at 2.21 as the recommended angle, citing a 50 percent implied confidence and an 11.42 percent edge over the model's own assessment. This suggests the goals market may currently offer better balance between price and probability than the heavily skewed win/draw/win odds.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 2.21 stands out as the most balanced option given the data, offering a genuine edge without requiring a highly improbable outright result. It is not a certainty, though, and carries moderate risk since goal totals in lopsided fixtures can still vary.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 14 Sept 26
Under 4.5 goalsfinal score 3-2
1.66 -1.00u Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Bodø/Glimt vs Sandefjord?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.21.
Who is favourite in the Bodø/Glimt vs Sandefjord match?+
Bodø/Glimt are strong favourites, priced at 1.13, which implies an win probability of roughly 88-89 percent according to the market.
What is the draw priced at for this Eliteserien fixture?+
The draw is priced at 9.8, implying an approximate probability of 10 percent.
Is there value in this fixture according to the model?+
Yes, the model flags Under 3.5 goals at 2.21 as the recommended bet, with a 50 percent implied confidence and an 11.42 percent value edge, while no match-result selections cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).