English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.00
LostResult
2-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bologna are the priced favourites at 1.95 (about 51% implied), but that margin leaves clear room for other results.
02
Sassuolo at 4.26 imply roughly a 23% chance, so a home win is favoured by a meaningful gap.
03
The draw at 3.73 sits around 27% implied, competitive with the away price and worth noting in a tight game.
04
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 shows a negative value edge of about -1.53%, so it is a preference, not a proven edge.
Team form
BOL Bologna DLDLL
19 Sept 26 vs Torino 1-1
13 Sept 26 @ Napoli 0-1
6 Sept 26 vs Sassuolo 2-2
31 Aug 26 @ Atalanta 0-1
24 Aug 26 vs Lazio 0-1
SAS Sassuolo LWDWL
18 Sept 26 @ Monza 1-2
13 Sept 26 vs Juventus 3-2
6 Sept 26 @ Bologna 2-2
29 Aug 26 vs Torino 2-1
23 Aug 26 @ Atalanta 1-2
Head-to-head: Bologna v Sassuolo
Full H2H history → D 6 Sept 26
Bologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
W 15 Mar 26
Sassuolo 0-1 BolognaSerie A
D 28 Dec 25
Bologna 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
W/D/L shown from Bologna's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bologna vs Sassuolo: pre-match preview
This Serie A meeting between Bologna and Sassuolo sees the market lean clearly toward the hosts. Bologna are priced at 1.95, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 51%, marking them as favourites without making the outcome anything close to a formality. Sassuolo, at 4.26, are given about a 23% chance, while the draw at 3.73 sits near 27%. Those numbers describe a match the bookmakers expect Bologna to edge, but with enough uncertainty that both a stalemate and an away win remain realistic scenarios. Our model turns attention away from the winner and toward the total: Over 2.5 goals at 2.08, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 47%. That price actually shows a small negative value edge of about -1.53%, so it is a lean rather than a standout opportunity. Treat it as one angle among several and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.08, reflecting a market-implied confidence near 47%. Be aware the value edge is slightly negative at about -1.53%, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong signal. Keep stakes measured and bet responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Bologna vs Sassuolo?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00.
Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Sassuolo?+
Bologna are favourites at 1.95, an implied probability of roughly 51%. Sassuolo are the outsiders at 4.26, around 23%.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.73 with 1xBet, which implies about a 27% chance. That makes it competitive with the away win in pricing terms.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 actually carries a small negative edge of about -1.53%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).