English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 24 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.93
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
54%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Botafogo are the market favourites at 2.13, implying around a 47% chance, clearly ahead of Atletico Paranaense at 3.6 (about 28%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.5, roughly a 29% implied probability, indicating the market does not heavily discount a stalemate.
03
Our recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 sits at about 54% implied confidence, pointing to expectations of a tighter, lower-scoring game.
04
The value edge on the recommended bet is negative at -4.08%, so this is a lean rather than a priced overlay, and no picks cleared our value threshold.
Team form
BOT Botafogo LWDDL
19 Sept 26 @ Mirassol 0-2
16 Sept 26 vs Grêmio 3-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bragantino 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs Palmeiras 0-0
30 Aug 26 @ Flamengo 0-3
AP Atletico Paranaense DLDWD
12 Sept 26 @ Coritiba 3-3
6 Sept 26 @ Cruzeiro 1-3
30 Aug 26 vs Fluminense 3-3
24 Aug 26 @ Botafogo 3-2
15 Aug 26 vs Bragantino 1-1
Head-to-head: Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense
Full H2H history → L 24 Aug 26
Botafogo 2-3 ParanaenseBrasileirão
L 29 Mar 26
Paranaense 4-1 BotafogoBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Botafogo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense: pre-match preview
This Brasileirao clash sees Botafogo host Atletico Paranaense, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Botafogo are priced at 2.13 with 1xBet, translating to an implied probability of roughly 47%, while Atletico Paranaense sit out at 3.6 (about 28%). The draw is quoted around 3.5, or close to 29% in implied terms, so the market sees a contest tilted towards the hosts without being one-sided. Rather than backing the outright result, our model leans towards the Under 2.5 goals line at 1.78, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 54%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -4.08%, meaning the price offers no clear overlay against the market. For those following the goals angle in this Botafogo versus Atletico Paranaense fixture, the read is a modestly cautious, lower-scoring expectation rather than a strong value play.
Verdict: The model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.78, reflecting a lower-scoring expectation with around 54% implied confidence. Honestly, the negative value edge means there is no market overlay here, so treat this as a modest lean, not a strong edge. Stake responsibly and only what you can afford.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.93.
Who is the favourite for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?+
Botafogo are the favourites at 2.13, implying roughly a 47% chance. Atletico Paranaense are the outsiders at 3.6, around 28%.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of about 29%.
Is there value in this fixture?+
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.08%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine overlay.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).