English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 29 Aug 2026
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Tipico
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Toulouse are narrowly favoured at 2.59 (about 39% implied), with Brest close behind at 2.85 (about 35%), a tight spread that signals a balanced fixture.
02
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly 29%, suggesting the market rates a stalemate as a realistic outcome.
03
Our model's recommended bet is Brest at 2.85, with a value edge of 3.74% against a market-implied confidence of 36%.
04
No value picks cleared the higher threshold, so the Brest lean is the only flagged edge and remains a modest one.
Team form
BRE Brest LLWDD
20 Sept 26 @ Auxerre 1-2
13 Sept 26 vs PSG 0-1
5 Sept 26 @ Le Havre 2-1
29 Aug 26 vs Toulouse 2-2
22 Aug 26 @ Le Mans 2-2
TOU Toulouse WDLDL
19 Sept 26 vs Le Havre 3-2
12 Sept 26 @ Lorient 2-2
3 Sept 26 vs Lille 0-1
29 Aug 26 @ Brest 2-2
22 Aug 26 vs Olympique Lyon 0-2
Head-to-head: Brest v Toulouse
Full H2H history → D 29 Aug 26
Brest 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
L 25 Jan 26
Brest 0-2 ToulouseLigue 1
L 24 Aug 25
Toulouse 2-0 BrestLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Brest's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Brest vs Toulouse: pre-match preview
This Ligue 1 meeting between Brest and Toulouse looks closely contested according to the market. Toulouse are the marginal favourites at 2.59, which translates to an implied probability of around 39%, while Brest sit just behind at 2.85, or roughly 35% in the raw prices. The draw is priced at 3.4, implying about 29% and reflecting a fixture the bookmakers view as competitive rather than one-sided. The narrow gap between the two win prices underlines how finely balanced this encounter is on paper. Our model, however, leans towards the home side, flagging Brest to win at 2.85 with Tipico as its recommended selection. The reasoning is value-based: at a market-implied confidence of about 36%, the model calculates a small edge of 3.74% over the offered price. That is a modest advantage rather than a strong signal, so this is a lean rather than a standout pick in this Brest versus Toulouse clash.
Verdict: The recommended play is Brest to win at 2.85 with Tipico, backed by a small 3.74% value edge. With implied confidence near 36% and Toulouse marginally favoured, this is a slim-edge, higher-variance pick. Stake responsibly and treat it as a lean, not a strong call.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 29 Aug 26
Over 2.5 goalsLigue 1
2.03 0.00u Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Brest vs Toulouse?+
Our tip was Brest to win at odds of 2.85.
Who is the favourite for Brest vs Toulouse?+
Toulouse are the slight favourites at 2.59 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Brest at 2.85 (about 35%). The gap is narrow, so the market sees this as a close contest.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The best available draw price is 3.4 with Nordic Bet, which implies roughly a 29% chance of the game ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies a modest edge on Brest to win at 2.85, worth about 3.74% versus the price. No selections cleared the higher value threshold, so it is a small edge rather than a standout opportunity.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).