English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 3.0 goals
Odds
2.00
WonResult
4-0Final score
+1.00uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Brighton are favourites at 2.34 (about 43% implied), ahead of Aston Villa at 3.11 (about 32%).
02
The gap between the two sides is fairly narrow, pointing to a competitive match rather than a mismatch.
03
The draw at 3.76 implies roughly 27%, a typical Premier League tie price that keeps all three outcomes live.
04
The Over 3.0 goals pick at 2.0 shows a negative value edge of -3.36%, so it sits below our value threshold despite a 48% implied confidence.
Team form
BAH Brighton and Hove Albion WWDLW
19 Sept 26 vs Arsenal 3-0
13 Sept 26 @ Coventry City 5-0
5 Sept 26 vs Leeds United 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Chelsea 3-4
23 Aug 26 vs Aston Villa 4-0
AV Aston Villa WLDLL
19 Sept 26 @ Tottenham 3-2
12 Sept 26 vs Nottingham 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Hull City 0-0
31 Aug 26 vs Arsenal 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Brighton Hove 0-4
Head-to-head: Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa
Full H2H history → W 23 Aug 26
Brighton Hove 4-0 Aston VillaPremier League
L 11 Feb 26
Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton HovePremier League
L 3 Dec 25
Brighton Hove 3-4 Aston VillaPremier League
W/D/L shown from Brighton and Hove Albion's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: pre-match preview
Brighton and Hove Albion host Aston Villa in this Premier League fixture, and the market leans towards the home side. Brighton are priced at 2.34, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%, while Aston Villa sit at 3.11, or around 32%. The draw is offered at 3.76, implying close to 27%. That spread suggests bookmakers see Brighton as modest favourites rather than a runaway pick, with Villa firmly in contention as the value-priced outsider. Our model, however, looks past the match result and towards goals, recommending Over 3.0 at 2.0 with Coolbet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 48%, though the calculated value edge is slightly negative at -3.36%, meaning it does not clear our usual threshold. In short, the odds paint a competitive, tilted-towards-Brighton contest, while the highlighted angle is an open, goal-heavy game rather than a straight winner.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 3.0 goals at 2.0, an even-money bet on an open, high-scoring affair. With a negative value edge and no picks clearing our threshold, treat this as a speculative angle rather than a strong lean. Stake carefully and keep to sensible bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 4-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 23 Aug 26
Under 3.0 goalsfinal score 4-0
1.86 -1.00u W 23 Aug 26
Brighton and Hove Albion to winfinal score 4-0
2.44 +1.44u Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?+
Our tip was Over 3.0 goals at odds of 2.00.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 4-0 (+1.00u at flat stakes).