English ⚽ La Liga 2 🕒 11 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.87
LostResult
3-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
62%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Team form
BC Burgos CF WWDDL
20 Sept 26 @ Las Palmas 2-1
11 Sept 26 vs AD Ceuta FC 3-1
6 Sept 26 @ Oviedo 0-0
31 Aug 26 vs Real Sociedad B 2-2
23 Aug 26 @ Sporting Gijón 0-1
ACF AD Ceuta FC DLLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Real Valladolid CF 1-1
11 Sept 26 @ Burgos CF 1-3
5 Sept 26 vs Celta Fortuna 0-2
30 Aug 26 @ Mallorca 0-3
22 Aug 26 vs Las Palmas 0-2
Head-to-head: Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
W 11 Sept 26
Burgos CF 3-1 AD Ceuta FCLa Liga 2
W/D/L shown from Burgos CF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta FC: pre-match preview
Burgos CF host AD Ceuta FC in La Liga 2 as clear favourites according to the betting market. Best odds of 1.81 on a home win translate to an implied probability of roughly 55%, while Ceuta's 4.6 price points to just under 22% and the draw at 3.4 suggests around 29%. Those numbers, which sum to a modest overround, frame this as a fixture where the market expects Burgos to control proceedings without necessarily running away with it, since the draw is priced competitively rather than as an afterthought. Away from the match-result market, the model's featured angle is Over 2.5 goals at 2.17, implying a bookmaker probability near 46% against a model confidence of 42%. That gap produces a negative value edge, meaning the price is not obviously favourable by the model's own numbers, so this looks more like a plausible scoreline shape than a standout value opportunity.
Verdict:
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 11 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 3-1
1.95 -1.00u Upcoming La Liga 2 fixtures
All La Liga 2 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Leganés v Granada CF | 2.20 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 25 Sept 18:30 | Girona FC v Albacete | 1.58 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| 26 Sept 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B | 2.30 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
| 26 Sept 14:15 | Granada CF v Andorra CF | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Celta Fortuna v Sabadell FC | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Tenerife v Cádiz CF | 1.82 | 3.63 | 5.50 |
| 27 Sept 12:00 | Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.18 |
| 27 Sept 14:15 | Mallorca v Almería | 2.07 | 3.51 | 3.99 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta FC?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.87.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).