Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Tigre are firm favourites at 1.65 (about 61% implied), with Central Córdoba a long shot at 6.51 (roughly 15%).
The draw is priced at 3.41, implying around a 29% chance, reflecting the wide gap between the teams.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.4 carries only about 40% market-implied confidence.
The value edge on the goals pick is negative at -5.09%, so it is not flagged as genuine value against the market.
Team form
CA Tigre BA vs Central Córdoba: pre-match preview
This Liga Profesional clash sees CA Tigre BA hosting Central Córdoba, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Tigre are priced at 1.65, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 61%, marking them as clear favourites. Central Córdoba, by contrast, sit at a distant 6.51, or around 15% in probability terms, while the draw is quoted at 3.41, implying close to 29%. That is a substantial gap between the two sides in the eyes of the bookmakers. Rather than picking a side, our model turns to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.4 (implied confidence around 40%). It is worth noting this selection carries a negative value edge of about -5.09%, meaning the price sits below what our model considers fair. Treat it as a suggested angle rather than a strong statistical edge, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.5 goals at 2.4, but with a negative value edge of -5.09% and only about 40% implied confidence, this is a modest-conviction angle. Consider it speculative rather than a strong edge, and keep stakes measured.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57.
CA Tigre BA are the clear favourites at 1.65, implying roughly a 61% chance. Central Córdoba are outsiders at 6.51, around 15%.
The draw is priced at 3.41 with 1xBet, which implies approximately a 29% probability.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.4 actually shows a negative edge of -5.09%, so it is not flagged as value against the market.
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).