English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
CA Tigre BA to win
Odds
2.90
LostResult
0-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
36%Pre-match conf.
-2.68%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The 1X2 market is unusually tight, with Rosario Central (2.75), CA Tigre BA (2.9) and the draw (2.91) all separated by tiny margins, implying probabilities clustered between roughly 34% and 36%.
02
Rosario Central hold the smallest edge as favourites by price, but the gap to Tigre BA and even the draw is minimal, suggesting the market sees little to separate the two sides.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.5 carries a model confidence of 38%, slightly below the 40% implied by the odds, resulting in a negative value edge of -5.09%.
04
No selections in this fixture cleared the site's value threshold, meaning there is no standout mispricing identified against market consensus for this match.
Team form
CTB CA Tigre BA LLDDW
13 Sept 26 vs Rosario Central 0-1
5 Sept 26 @ Gimnasia La Plata 1-2
1 Sept 26 vs Barracas Central 0-0
15 Aug 26 @ Aldosivi Mar del Plata 0-0
8 Aug 26 vs River Plate 1-0
RC Rosario Central WDWW
13 Sept 26 @ CA Tigre BA 1-0
6 Sept 26 vs Newells Old Boys 1-1
16 Aug 26 @ Barracas Central 1-0
7 Aug 26 vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata 2-1
Head-to-head: CA Tigre BA v Rosario Central
L 13 Sept 26
CA Tigre BA 0-1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional
W/D/L shown from CA Tigre BA's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
CA Tigre BA vs Rosario Central: pre-match preview
CA Tigre BA host Rosario Central in a Liga Profesional fixture where the bookmaker board shows one of the tightest three-way markets you will see. Rosario Central are priced marginally shorter at 2.75, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 36%, just ahead of Tigre BA at 2.9 (about 34.5%) and the draw at 2.91 (about 34.4%). With all three outcomes bunched so closely together, the market is essentially calling this a coin-flip fixture rather than pointing to a clear favourite. Our model steers away from the result market entirely here and instead flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.5 as its recommended angle, though it is worth noting the model's own confidence sits at 38% against an implied 40% from the price, producing a negative value edge of -5.09%. That context matters when deciding how much weight to give this selection.
Verdict: The result market offers no clear favourite, with all three outcomes priced within a few percentage points of each other. The flagged Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.5 is the model's closest lean, but its own numbers show a negative edge, so this should be treated as a moderate-risk, low-conviction angle rather than a confident selection. Stake accordingly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 13 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-1
1.52 +0.52u Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for CA Tigre BA vs Rosario Central?+
Our tip was CA Tigre BA to win at odds of 2.90.
Who is the favourite between CA Tigre BA and Rosario Central?+
Rosario Central are priced marginally shorter at 2.75 compared to Tigre BA's 2.9, making them the slight market favourites, though the implied probabilities of roughly 36% versus 34.5% show the gap is very small.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is priced at 2.91, which is actually the longest of the three outcomes and implies a probability of about 34.4%, almost identical to Tigre BA's implied chance.
Is there a value bet for CA Tigre BA vs Rosario Central?+
No selection cleared the site's value threshold for this match. The closest recommendation, Over 2.5 goals at 2.5, actually shows a negative value edge of -5.09% based on the model's confidence level of 38%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).