English ⚽ La Liga 2 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Las Palmas to win
Odds
2.85
WonResult
0-1Final score
+1.85uProfit
40%Pre-match conf.
-6.56%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Cádiz are priced as favourites at 2.62, implying roughly a 38% chance of victory, the shortest price of the three outcomes.
02
Las Palmas at 2.85 imply about 35% probability, while the draw at 3.25 suggests around 31%, keeping the market tightly bunched.
03
The model's confidence in a Las Palmas win (40%) sits above the market-implied 35%, producing a stated value edge of 13.25%.
04
No additional value picks were flagged above the site's threshold, so the Las Palmas selection is the standout angle from this data set.
Team form
CC Cádiz CF LLLDD
19 Sept 26 vs Girona FC 1-2
12 Sept 26 vs Las Palmas 0-1
6 Sept 26 @ Almería 2-3
30 Aug 26 vs Real Valladolid CF 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ CD Eldense 2-2
LP Las Palmas LWDWW
20 Sept 26 vs Burgos CF 1-2
12 Sept 26 @ Cádiz CF 1-0
4 Sept 26 vs Leganés 0-0
22 Aug 26 @ AD Ceuta FC 2-0
16 Aug 26 vs Albacete 2-1
Head-to-head: Cádiz CF v Las Palmas
L 12 Sept 26
Cádiz CF 0-1 Las PalmasLa Liga 2
W/D/L shown from Cádiz CF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cádiz CF vs Las Palmas: pre-match preview
Cádiz CF host Las Palmas in a tightly priced La Liga 2 clash where the bookmakers give a slight edge to the home side. Cádiz's best price of 2.62 implies a win probability of roughly 38%, marginally ahead of Las Palmas at 2.85 (about 35%) and the draw at 3.25 (around 31%). With all three outcomes bunched close together, the match looks competitive on paper rather than lopsided. Our model, however, sees extra value in the away side, rating Las Palmas' true winning chances at around 40%, notably higher than the market's implied 35% for that outcome. That gap is the basis for the recommended bet on Las Palmas to win at 2.85, a selection built purely on the pricing structure of this fixture rather than any assumed home or away advantage.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Las Palmas to win at 2.85, backed by a model edge of 13.25% over the market's implied probability. It is a value-based pick rather than a strong favourite play, so risk remains meaningful given how closely all three outcomes are priced. Staking should reflect that balanced risk profile.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.85 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming La Liga 2 fixtures
All La Liga 2 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Leganés v Granada CF | 2.20 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 25 Sept 18:30 | Girona FC v Albacete | 1.58 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| 26 Sept 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B | 2.30 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
| 26 Sept 14:15 | Granada CF v Andorra CF | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Celta Fortuna v Sabadell FC | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Tenerife v Cádiz CF | 1.82 | 3.63 | 5.50 |
| 27 Sept 12:00 | Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.18 |
| 27 Sept 14:15 | Mallorca v Almería | 2.07 | 3.51 | 3.99 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cádiz CF vs Las Palmas?+
Our tip was Las Palmas to win at odds of 2.85.
Who are the favourites for Cádiz CF vs Las Palmas?+
Based on the odds, Cádiz CF are the slight favourites at 2.62, implying roughly a 38% chance of winning, just ahead of Las Palmas at 2.85 (about 35%).
What is the draw priced at in this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.25, which implies an approximate 31% probability, making it the least likely of the three outcomes according to the market.
Is there value in betting on Las Palmas to win?+
According to the model, yes: it rates Las Palmas' winning chances at about 40%, above the market's implied 35%, giving a stated value edge of 13.25% at the 2.85 price.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.85u at flat stakes).