English ⚽ La Liga 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.77
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
-1.12%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Celta Vigo are firm favourites at 2.0, an implied probability of about 50%, double the shortness of Osasuna's 4.0 price.
02
CA Osasuna are the outsiders at around 25% implied, reflecting a sizeable market gap between the two sides.
03
The draw at 3.6 sits at roughly 28% implied, a fairly standard price that keeps the stalemate in play.
04
Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 carries a negative value edge of about -5%, so the model treats it as a lean, not a value bet.
Team form
CV Celta Vigo WDDDL
19 Sept 26 vs Santander 5-0
13 Sept 26 vs Málaga 1-1
7 Sept 26 @ Getafe 1-1
3 Sept 26 @ Real Sociedad 0-0
30 Aug 26 vs Athletic 0-2
CO CA Osasuna DLLLW
19 Sept 26 vs Rayo Vallecano 1-1
16 Sept 26 @ Atleti 0-4
12 Sept 26 vs Espanyol 0-2
6 Sept 26 @ Alavés 2-5
31 Aug 26 vs Getafe 1-0
Head-to-head: Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna
Full H2H history → L 27 Aug 26
Celta 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
L 6 Feb 26
Celta 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
W 26 Oct 25
Osasuna 2-3 CeltaLa Liga
W/D/L shown from Celta Vigo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Celta Vigo vs CA Osasuna: pre-match preview
This La Liga meeting sees Celta Vigo host CA Osasuna, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Celta are priced at 2.0, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 50%, marking them as clear home favourites. Osasuna, at 4.0, sit at around 25% in the eyes of the bookmakers, while the draw is quoted at 3.6, or about 28% implied. The gap between the two sides is significant, with the home price exactly half that of the visitors. Rather than backing a side outright, our model looks to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 with market-implied confidence of about 46%. Notably, that selection carries a negative value edge of around -5%, so it is highlighted as the model's lean rather than a genuine value spot. There were no picks clearing our value threshold for this fixture.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 2.05, reflecting around 46% implied confidence. Be aware this selection shows a negative value edge of roughly -5%, meaning it is priced against you rather than offering an edge. Treat it as a modest interest bet and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 16 Aug 26
Celta Vigo to winVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
2.12 0.00u Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Valencia v Real Sociedad | 3.18 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
| 9 Oct 19:00 | Málaga v Espanyol | 2.50 | 3.38 | 3.13 |
| 10 Oct 12:00 | Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao | 3.20 | 3.51 | 2.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:15 | Alavés v Atlético Madrid | 3.90 | 3.75 | 2.08 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Barcelona v Getafe | 1.07 | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| 10 Oct 19:00 | Real Madrid v Villarreal | 1.27 | 7.50 | 11.30 |
| 11 Oct 12:00 | Elche CF v Celta Vigo | 3.03 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| 11 Oct 14:15 | Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruña | 1.97 | 3.75 | 4.21 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atleti | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alavés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Celta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Celta Vigo vs CA Osasuna?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.77.
Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?+
Celta Vigo are the favourites at 2.0, an implied probability of about 50%. Osasuna are the outsiders at 4.0, around 25%.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.6, which implies roughly a 28% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold here. The model's featured pick, Over 2.5 goals at 2.05, actually shows a negative value edge of about -5%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).