English ⚽ J1 League 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Cerezo Osaka to win
Odds
2.30
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.30uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Cerezo Osaka are the market favourites at 2.3, implying roughly a 43% chance, ahead of Shimizu S Pulse at 3.17 (about 32%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, or around 28% implied probability, keeping all three outcomes realistically in play.
03
Our model rates Cerezo's chance slightly higher than the market at about 46%, producing a modest value edge of 4.74% on the home win.
04
The relatively narrow price gap between home and away suggests the market does not view this as a lopsided matchup.
Team form
CO Cerezo Osaka DLDWW
19 Sept 26 @ V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 1-6
6 Sept 26 vs Tokyo Verdy 0-0
2 Sept 26 vs Kashiwa Reysol 2-0
22 Aug 26 vs Shimizu S Pulse 1-0
SSP Shimizu S Pulse WWLDL
19 Sept 26 vs JEF United Chiba 2-1
12 Sept 26 vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-0
6 Sept 26 @ Kawasaki Frontale 1-3
2 Sept 26 vs FC Tokyo 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Cerezo Osaka 0-1
Head-to-head: Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse
W 22 Aug 26
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S PulseJ1 League
W/D/L shown from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse: pre-match preview
Cerezo Osaka host Shimizu S Pulse in this J1 League fixture, and the market has settled on the home side as favourites. Cerezo are priced at 2.3 with Coolbet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 43%. Shimizu S Pulse are the outsiders at 3.17 (1xBet), implying about 32%, while the draw sits at 3.6 (Coolbet) for around 28%. Those numbers point to a game the market sees as competitive rather than one-sided, with Cerezo holding a moderate rather than commanding edge. Our model leans towards Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, assigning a market-implied confidence of about 46% and flagging a small value edge of 4.74% at that price. In short, the home win is the favoured outcome, but the gap between the three prices suggests plenty of room for surprises across the ninety minutes.
Verdict: The recommended play is Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, supported by a small 4.74% value edge and around 46% model confidence. It is a moderate-risk pick: Cerezo are favourites but far from certainties, with both the draw and an away win priced within reach. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.30 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse?+
Our tip was Cerezo Osaka to win at odds of 2.30.
Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse?+
Cerezo Osaka are the favourites at 2.3 with Coolbet, implying roughly a 43% chance. Shimizu S Pulse are the outsiders at 3.17.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 28%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model flags a small value edge of 4.74% on Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, with market-implied confidence near 46%. No other selections cleared our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.30u at flat stakes).