Colour scheme
Odds format
Language
English
Home/ Predictions/ Belgian Pro League/ Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen result

Belgian Pro League · kicked off 22 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.

Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work

Our published tip

Key factors behind our tip

01

Charleroi are the favourites at 1.78, implying about a 56% chance, while KV Mechelen at 4.5 sit near 22%.

02

The draw at 3.9 implies roughly 26%, a normal price for a fixture with a moderate favourite rather than a heavy one.

03

The recommended Over 2.75 goals bet at 2.02 carries a market-implied confidence of about 48%.

04

The value edge on that goals pick is negative at -3.98%, so the price does not beat the market consensus.

Team form

CHA Charleroi WWLWW
19 Sept 26 vs Cercle Brugge KSV 3-2
13 Sept 26 @ SV Zulte-Waregem 1-0
5 Sept 26 vs Union Saint-Gilloise 2-3
22 Aug 26 vs KV Mechelen 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Lommel SK 1-0
KM KV Mechelen DLLLD
19 Sept 26 @ Lommel SK 0-0
11 Sept 26 vs Anderlecht 0-1
5 Sept 26 vs Westerlo 0-4
22 Aug 26 @ Charleroi 0-2
16 Aug 26 vs Standard Liege 3-3

Head-to-head: Charleroi v KV Mechelen

W 22 Aug 26
Charleroi 2-0 KV MechelenBelgian Pro League

W/D/L shown from Charleroi's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen: pre-match preview

Charleroi host KV Mechelen in the Belgian Pro League, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. Charleroi are priced at 1.78, implying roughly a 56% chance of winning, while KV Mechelen sit out at 4.5, or about 22% in probability terms. The draw is quoted at 3.9, translating to close to 26%. That spread of prices frames a contest where Charleroi are favoured but far from unbackable at short odds, leaving room for the visitors or a stalemate. Our model does not focus on the match result here. Instead it points to the goals market, recommending Over 2.75 goals at 2.02 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 48%. It is worth noting the value edge on that selection is negative at -3.98%, meaning the price offers no clear pricing advantage over the market on the numbers available.

Verdict: The recommended play is Over 2.75 goals at 2.02, essentially a coin-flip proposition at roughly 48% implied confidence. With a negative value edge of -3.98%, this is not a strong value spot, so treat it as a marginal call and stake responsibly.

How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Upcoming Belgian Pro League fixtures

All Belgian Pro League tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
20 Sept 17:16 KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren 1.13 9.80 110.00

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for Charleroi vs KV Mechelen?+

Our tip was Over 2.0 goals at odds of 2.00.

Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs KV Mechelen?+

Charleroi are the market favourites at 1.78, which implies about a 56% chance of winning. KV Mechelen are the outsiders at 4.5, around 22%.

What are the odds on the draw?+

The draw is priced at 3.9 with Tipico, implying roughly a 26% probability.

Is there value in this match?+

No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 2.75 goals at 2.02 has a negative edge of -3.98%, so it does not offer a pricing advantage over the market.

Did the tip win?+

The tip was voided — final score 2-0 (0.00u at flat stakes).

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.