English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 8 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.98
WonResult
2-1Final score
+0.98uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
-5.71%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Coritiba are strong favourites at 1.56 (about 64% implied), with Chapecoense long outsiders at 6.43 (roughly 16%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.05, implying around a 25% chance and reflecting a clear separation between the two sides.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 sits near a coin-flip at about 48% implied confidence.
04
No selection cleared our value threshold, and the goals pick shows a negative edge of -4.09%, meaning the price is marginally short of fair.
Team form
COR Coritiba LDLWW
19 Sept 26 @ Vasco da Gama 0-5
12 Sept 26 vs Paranaense 3-3
6 Sept 26 vs Mirassol 1-2
31 Aug 26 @ Clube do Remo 3-2
23 Aug 26 vs Corinthians 2-1
CHA Chapecoense DLWLW
19 Sept 26 @ Mineiro 1-1
12 Sept 26 vs Internacional 1-2
6 Sept 26 @ Corinthians 2-1
30 Aug 26 @ Grêmio 1-3
23 Aug 26 vs São Paulo 1-0
Head-to-head: Coritiba v Chapecoense
Full H2H history → W 8 Aug 26
Coritiba 2-1 ChapecoenseBrasileirão
D 11 Feb 26
Chapecoense 3-3 CoritibaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Coritiba's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Coritiba vs Chapecoense: pre-match preview
Coritiba host Chapecoense in this Brasileirao clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. At 1.56, Coritiba are priced as clear home favourites, implying roughly a 64% chance of victory before the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Chapecoense are the outsiders at 6.43, which translates to around a 16% chance, while the draw sits at 4.05, or close to 25% in implied terms. That spread points to a match the market expects Coritiba to control. Our model does not chase the result line here; instead it looks at goals, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 with market-implied confidence of about 48%. Notably, that pick carries a negative value edge of -4.09%, meaning the price is slightly shorter than our model considers fair. It is offered as the angle of interest rather than a standout value play for this fixture.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.98, a near even-money market with roughly 48% implied confidence. Be aware it carries a slightly negative value edge, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong-value call. Stake responsibly and treat outcomes as uncertain.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.98 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 8 Aug 26
Coritiba to winfinal score 2-1
1.73 +0.73u Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.98.
Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?+
Coritiba are the favourites at 1.56, which implies about a 64% chance of victory. Chapecoense are the outsiders at 6.43, around 16% implied.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.05 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 25% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 even shows a negative edge of -4.09%, so it is an angle of interest rather than a clear value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+0.98u at flat stakes).