English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Coritiba to win
Odds
2.94
WonResult
2-1Final score
+1.94uProfit
36%Pre-match conf.
-6.67%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Corinthians are the market favourites at 2.61 (around 38% implied), but only marginally ahead of Coritiba at 2.94 (around 34%).
02
The narrow price gap between the two sides suggests bookmakers view this as a competitive, close-to-even matchup.
03
The draw is priced at 3.2, implying roughly a 31% chance, which underlines the outcome uncertainty here.
04
Our model rates Coritiba to win at 2.94 as carrying a value edge of about 6.27%, with model confidence near 36% versus the raw implied figure.
Team form
COR Coritiba LDLWW
19 Sept 26 @ Vasco da Gama 0-5
12 Sept 26 vs Paranaense 3-3
6 Sept 26 vs Mirassol 1-2
31 Aug 26 @ Clube do Remo 3-2
23 Aug 26 vs Corinthians 2-1
COR Corinthians LLLLL
13 Sept 26 @ Flamengo 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Chapecoense 1-2
30 Aug 26 vs Santos 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Coritiba 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Head-to-head: Coritiba v Corinthians
Full H2H history → W 23 Aug 26
Coritiba 2-1 CorinthiansBrasileirão
W 12 Mar 26
Corinthians 0-2 CoritibaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Coritiba's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Coritiba vs Corinthians: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão fixture sends Coritiba against Corinthians, and the market gives the visitors the edge. Corinthians are priced at 2.61, translating to roughly a 38% implied chance, while Coritiba sit at 2.94, around 34% in probability terms. The gap between the two prices is narrow, suggesting bookmakers see this as a fairly open contest rather than a lopsided one. The draw is available at 3.2, or close to 31% implied, which reflects genuine uncertainty over the outcome. Our model leans towards Coritiba to win at 2.94, flagging a value edge of about 6.27% at a market-implied confidence of 36% — slightly ahead of the raw price. In short, the market favours Corinthians on paper, but our numbers point to the home side as the more attractively priced selection. As always, treat this as one input among many and stake responsibly.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Coritiba to win at 2.94, backed by a modest 6.27% value edge and model confidence around 36%. Corinthians remain slight favourites, so this is a medium-risk pick on the underdog rather than a strong lean. Stake within your limits.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.94 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Coritiba vs Corinthians?+
Our tip was Coritiba to win at odds of 2.94.
Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Corinthians?+
Corinthians are the favourites at 2.61, implying roughly a 38% chance. Coritiba are close behind at 2.94, around 34%, so the market sees this as a fairly tight contest.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.2 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of about 31%.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies value on Coritiba to win at 2.94, estimating an edge of about 6.27% with model confidence near 36%. No other selections cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+1.94u at flat stakes).