English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Flamengo to win
Odds
2.51
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
41%Pre-match conf.
+2.87%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Flamengo are the favourites at 2.51, implying roughly 40% win probability, ahead of Cruzeiro at 3.05 (about 33%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, worth around 29% in implied terms, reflecting a competitive, not one-sided, matchup.
03
Our model flags a small value edge of about 3.38% on Flamengo at 2.51, with market-implied confidence of 41%.
04
No selection cleared our higher value threshold, so the Flamengo lean is marginal rather than a strong standout.
Team form
CRU Cruzeiro LWLWW
13 Sept 26 @ Santos 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Paranaense 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Vasco da Gama 1-3
22 Aug 26 vs Flamengo 2-1
16 Aug 26 @ Corinthians 2-1
FLA Flamengo WWWWL
13 Sept 26 vs Corinthians 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Clube do Remo 1-0
2 Sept 26 vs Mirassol 2-0
30 Aug 26 vs Botafogo 3-0
22 Aug 26 @ Cruzeiro 1-2
Head-to-head: Cruzeiro v Flamengo
Full H2H history → W 22 Aug 26
Cruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrasileirão
L 12 Mar 26
Flamengo 2-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
D 2 Oct 25
Flamengo 0-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
W 4 May 25
Cruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Cruzeiro's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash sees Cruzeiro host Flamengo, and the market leans toward the visitors. Flamengo are priced at 2.51 with 1xBet, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 40%, while Cruzeiro sit at 3.05 (about 33%) with Nordic Bet. The draw is offered at 3.4 (around 29%) with Coolbet. That spread points to a genuinely open contest rather than a lopsided one, with Flamengo only modestly favoured on the numbers. Our model's recommended bet is Flamengo to win at 2.51, carrying a market-implied confidence of 41% and a slim value edge of about 3.38% over the consensus price. It is worth noting no picks cleared our stronger value threshold here, so this is a lean rather than a standout spot. As always with a closely priced fixture, the outcome remains uncertain and the margins are tight.
Verdict: The recommended play is Flamengo to win at 2.51, backed by a slim value edge of roughly 3.38% and around 41% implied confidence. With prices this close across all three outcomes, this is a low-conviction lean rather than a strong call. Stake responsibly and treat the risk as real.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Our tip was Flamengo to win at odds of 2.51.
Who is the favourite for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Flamengo are the favourites at 2.51 with 1xBet, implying roughly 40% win probability. Cruzeiro are priced at 3.05 (about 33%), so the gap is modest.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 29%.
Is there any value in this match?+
Our model identifies a small value edge of about 3.38% on Flamengo at 2.51, but no selection cleared our stronger value threshold, so it is a marginal lean rather than a firm value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).