English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.71
LostResult
1-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
61%Pre-match conf.
+4.27%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at GTbets
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Djurgardens IF are firm favourites at 1.45, implying roughly a 69% chance, while AIK at 6.75 sit near 15%.
02
The draw is priced at 5.1, about 20% implied, yet the model's fair probability of 23% points to a value edge of around 16%.
03
The recommended Over 3.5 goals pick at 2.0 has market-implied confidence near 46% but a negative edge of -8.7%, meaning it is not priced in your favour.
04
The wide gap between the favourite and outsider prices reflects a market that strongly leans toward the home side.
Team form
DI Djurgardens IF LWWWW
20 Sept 26 vs IF Elfsborg 1-2
14 Sept 26 vs GAIS 2-0
7 Sept 26 @ Kalmar FF 1-0
3 Sept 26 @ Mjällby AIF 2-0
31 Aug 26 vs Mjällby AIF 4-0
AIK AIK LDLDW
20 Sept 26 @ Halmstads BK 1-2
16 Sept 26 vs Mjällby AIF 1-1
12 Sept 26 vs Västerås SK 1-4
7 Sept 26 @ Malmo FF 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Djurgardens IF 3-1
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF v AIK
L 16 Aug 26
Djurgardens IF 1-3 AIKAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from Djurgardens IF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Djurgardens IF vs AIK: pre-match preview
This Allsvenskan meeting sees Djurgardens IF host AIK as clear favourites in the eyes of the market. Unibet (SE) prices Djurgardens at 1.45, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 69%, marking them as strong home favourites. AIK are rated as sizeable outsiders at 6.75, implying around 15%, while the draw sits at 5.1, or about 20% in probability terms. That is a notable gap between the two sides on paper. Our model steps away from the match result and instead flags the goals market: Over 3.5 goals at 2.0, carrying market-implied confidence of about 46%. Worth noting is that this pick shows a negative value edge of -8.7%, so it is priced against you relative to the model's fair estimate. The one spot our numbers highlight for value is actually the draw, where the fair probability of 23% suggests the 5.1 price offers an edge of around 16%.
Verdict: The model's headline pick is Over 3.5 goals at 2.0, a coin-flip-style bet with negative value on the numbers, so treat it cautiously. The more interesting angle statistically is the draw at 5.1, where the model sees an edge. Stake responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Djurgardens IF vs AIK?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.71.
Who is the favourite for Djurgardens IF vs AIK?+
Djurgardens IF are the favourites at 1.45 with Unibet (SE), implying roughly a 69% chance. AIK are the outsiders at 6.75, around 15% implied.
What price is the draw?+
The draw is available at 5.1 with Unibet (SE), which implies about a 20% probability. Our model rates its fair probability higher at 23%, suggesting a value edge of around 16%.
Is there value in this match according to the model?+
The model highlights the draw at 5.1 as the standout value with a positive edge of about 16%. The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.0, by contrast, shows a negative edge of -8.7%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).