English ⚽ 2. Bundesliga 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Dynamo Dresden to win
Odds
2.60
LostResult
1-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
42%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Tipico
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Dynamo Dresden are priced as favourites at 2.6, implying roughly a 38 percent chance of victory, the shortest of the three outcomes.
02
Hertha Berlin sit at 3.15 (about 32 percent implied), while the draw is the outsider at 3.85 (about 26 percent implied).
03
The model's fair probability for a Dynamo win sits near 44 percent, above the market-implied 38 percent, generating a quoted value edge of roughly 14.7 percent on that price.
04
The recommended bet carries a stated market-implied confidence of 42 percent and a value edge of about 9.17 percent versus the model's overall assessment.
Team form
DD Dynamo Dresden LDLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Hertha Berlin 1-2
12 Sept 26 @ Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2
5 Sept 26 vs VfL Bochum 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs SV Darmstadt 98 1-0
9 Aug 26 @ 1. FC Nürnberg 0-3
HB Hertha Berlin WWWWW
19 Sept 26 @ Dynamo Dresden 2-1
13 Sept 26 @ VfL Osnabrück 3-1
6 Sept 26 vs 1. FC Magdeburg 2-1
15 Aug 26 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 4-1
7 Aug 26 @ VfL Bochum 1-0
Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin
L 19 Sept 26
Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Dynamo Dresden's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin: pre-match preview
Dynamo Dresden host Hertha Berlin in a 2. Bundesliga fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them an overwhelming pick. Best-priced odds of 2.6 on Dynamo imply a probability of roughly 38 percent, ahead of Hertha at 3.15 (about 32 percent) and the draw at 3.85 (about 26 percent), with the overround reflecting bookmaker margin on top of these figures. Our model reads Dynamo's true winning chances slightly higher than the market price suggests, putting fair probability near 44 percent against an implied 38 percent, which is the basis for the recommended bet on Dynamo Dresden to win at 2.6. This gap between model and market pricing is the core reason the pick is flagged as value, though Hertha and the draw remain live outcomes at their respective prices.
Verdict: The recommended angle is Dynamo Dresden to win at 2.6, backed by a model-implied edge over the market price. Confidence sits at 42 percent, meaning the bet is a value lean rather than a strong favourite pick, so this remains a moderate-risk selection best sized with sensible bankroll management.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 19 Sept 26
Hertha Berlin to winfinal score 1-2
2.85 +1.85u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?+
Our tip was Dynamo Dresden to win at odds of 2.60.
Who is favourite in Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?+
Dynamo Dresden are the market favourites at best odds of 2.6, implying a win probability of around 38 percent, ahead of Hertha Berlin at 3.15 and the draw at 3.85.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The draw is available at 3.85 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 26 percent chance, making it the least likely of the three match-result outcomes according to the odds.
Is there value in backing Dynamo Dresden to win?+
Yes, according to the data the model estimates Dynamo's fair win probability at about 44 percent against a market-implied 38 percent at the 2.6 price, producing a value edge of roughly 14.7 percent, which underpins the recommended bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).