English ⚽ Bundesliga 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 3.0 goals
Odds
1.82
WonResult
2-2Final score
+0.82uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
+2.82%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Frankfurt's 2.32 price implies roughly a 43% win probability, the clearest lean in the match-result market.
02
Freiburg's 3.10 price implies around 32%, keeping them a live outside threat rather than a rank underdog.
03
The draw at 3.98 implies about 25% by the market, but the model's fair probability of 28% suggests a 9.62% edge on that outcome.
04
The recommended Under 3.5 goals pick at 1.65 carries a modest negative edge of -1.4%, meaning it is close to fair value rather than a clear market mispricing.
Team form
EF Eintracht Frankfurt DWLDD
19 Sept 26 vs Freiburg 2-2
12 Sept 26 @ Mainz 3-1
6 Sept 26 vs Augsburg 1-4
29 Aug 26 @ Union Berlin 3-3
16 May 26 vs Stuttgart 2-2
SF SC Freiburg DWWWW
19 Sept 26 @ Frankfurt 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs M'gladbach 5-0
5 Sept 26 @ SC Paderborn 1-0
30 Aug 26 vs Bremen 4-1
16 May 26 vs RB Leipzig 4-1
Head-to-head: Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg
Full H2H history → D 19 Sept 26
Frankfurt 2-2 FreiburgBundesliga
W 1 Mar 26
Frankfurt 2-0 FreiburgBundesliga
D 19 Oct 25
Freiburg 2-2 FrankfurtBundesliga
W/D/L shown from Eintracht Frankfurt's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg: pre-match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. Frankfurt's best price of 2.32 implies a win probability of roughly 43%, comfortably ahead of Freiburg's 3.10 (about 32%) and the draw at 3.98 (around 25%). Those numbers point to a moderately backed home favourite rather than a lopsided mismatch, leaving a competitive gap between the two sides. Away from the win market, the model's featured angle is a goals-line selection: Under 3.5 goals at 1.65, reflecting an expectation that this contest may not turn into a high-scoring affair. Interestingly, the data also flags the draw as a possible value price, since its market odds imply a lower chance than the model's own estimate suggests. Bettors weighing this Bundesliga clash have a few distinct angles to consider before deciding where, if anywhere, to place stakes.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.65 reflects a 60% model confidence but only a slightly negative value edge, making it a fair-value rather than standout pick. The draw shows a stronger statistical edge on paper, though draws remain inherently unpredictable. Stake conservatively and treat both as moderate-risk options.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.82 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?+
Our tip was Over 3.0 goals at odds of 1.82.
Who is favourite in the Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg match?+
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites according to the odds, with a best price of 2.32 implying roughly a 43% win probability, ahead of Freiburg's 32% implied chance.
What is the draw priced at for this Bundesliga fixture?+
The best available draw price is 3.98, which implies about a 25% probability, though the model's fair estimate of 28% suggests some value at that price.
Is there value in this Frankfurt vs Freiburg match according to the data?+
The data highlights the draw as the clearest value pick, with a 9.62% edge versus market consensus, while the recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.65 shows only a slight negative edge of -1.4%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-2 (+0.82u at flat stakes).