English ⚽ Bundesliga 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Elversberg to win
Odds
5.75
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
19%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Leverkusen's 1.6 price implies roughly a 63% chance of victory, marking them as clear favourites.
02
Elversberg at 5.75 implies about a 17% market chance, but our model estimates their fair probability nearer 19%.
03
That gap produces an estimated value edge of 8.19% on the Elversberg win, the basis for the recommended bet.
04
The draw at 4.75 sits at around 21% implied probability, offering a middle-ground alternative between the two sides.
Team form
ELV Elversberg DLWW
20 Sept 26 @ Schalke 0-0
13 Sept 26 vs Bayern 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ M'gladbach 4-3
29 Aug 26 vs Leverkusen 3-2
BL Bayer Leverkusen WDWLD
20 Sept 26 vs RB Leipzig 2-0
12 Sept 26 @ Augsburg 2-2
5 Sept 26 vs Union Berlin 4-0
29 Aug 26 @ Elversberg 2-3
16 May 26 vs HSV 1-1
Head-to-head: Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen
W 29 Aug 26
Elversberg 3-2 LeverkusenBundesliga
W/D/L shown from Elversberg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: pre-match preview
This Bundesliga clash pits newly-arrived Elversberg against Bayer Leverkusen, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Leverkusen are priced at 1.6 with 1xBet, which translates to roughly a 63% implied chance of taking all three points. Elversberg, by contrast, sit out at 5.75 with Coolbet, implying only around a 17% market probability, while the draw is available at 4.75, or roughly 21%. That is a clear gap in the pricing, reflecting Leverkusen's status as strong favourites on the road. Interestingly, our model rates Elversberg's genuine winning chance closer to 19%, which is above what the market price of 5.75 suggests. That discrepancy is where our recommended bet emerges: backing the home side to win. It is not a call that the underdog will prevail, but rather that the odds offered on Elversberg look generous relative to their assessed probability of an upset.
Verdict: The recommended play is Elversberg to win at 5.75 with Coolbet, chosen for its value edge rather than any expectation of an easy result. This is a high-risk underdog bet against a strong favourite, so treat the stake accordingly and keep it within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?+
Our tip was Elversberg to win at odds of 5.75.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).