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Home/ Predictions/ Premier League/ Everton vs Manchester United

Everton vs Manchester United result

Premier League · kicked off 6 Sept 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.

Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work

Our published tip

Key factors behind our tip

01

Manchester United are the marginal favourites at 2.59 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Everton at 2.9 (about 34%).

02

The narrow price gap points to a tightly rated match rather than a comfortable favourite.

03

Our model flags Everton to win at 2.9 as value, with a small edge of roughly 3.59% over a 36% implied confidence.

04

The draw is priced at 3.52 and also shows a modest edge of about 4.79% against a fair probability estimate of 30%.

Team form

EVE Everton WDDDW
19 Sept 26 vs Ipswich Town 1-0
12 Sept 26 @ Tottenham 0-0
6 Sept 26 vs Man United 2-2
29 Aug 26 @ Bournemouth 1-1
22 Aug 26 vs Crystal Palace 2-0
MU Manchester United DLDWL
20 Sept 26 @ Fulham 1-1
13 Sept 26 vs Man City 0-1
6 Sept 26 @ Everton 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Ipswich Town 5-2
22 Aug 26 @ Hull City 0-2

Head-to-head: Everton v Manchester United

Full H2H history →
D 6 Sept 26
Everton 2-2 Man UnitedPremier League
L 23 Feb 26
Everton 0-1 Man UnitedPremier League
W 24 Nov 25
Man United 0-1 EvertonPremier League

W/D/L shown from Everton's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.

Everton vs Manchester United: pre-match preview

This Premier League meeting between Everton and Manchester United sees the market lean slightly towards the visitors. Manchester United are priced at 2.59, translating to an implied probability of roughly 39%, while Everton sit at 2.9, or about 34% in the market's eyes. That is a narrow gap, marking this out as a closely rated contest rather than a clear mismatch. The draw is available at 3.52, implying around 28%. Our model, however, sees value on the home side: Everton to win at 2.9 carries a small edge of about 3.59% against the market-implied confidence of 36%. In other words, our numbers suggest Everton's true chances may be a touch better than the odds indicate. With the price gap so slim, this is a fixture where the underdog tag on Everton looks softer than the raw odds first suggest, making the home value pick the focus here.

Verdict: The recommended bet is Everton to win at 2.9, backed by a modest 3.59% value edge. With the market pricing this as a close call, it remains a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong lean. Treat the small edge accordingly and stake within your own limits.

How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Upcoming Premier League fixtures

All Premier League tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
10 Oct 11:30 Arsenal v Leeds United 1.36 5.50 10.50
10 Oct 14:00 Chelsea v Bournemouth 1.88 4.30 4.11
10 Oct 14:00 Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion 2.93 3.70 2.59
10 Oct 14:00 Ipswich Town v Fulham 2.79 3.70 2.63
10 Oct 14:00 Aston Villa v Brentford 2.76 3.65 2.74
10 Oct 16:30 Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur 1.75 4.40 4.82
11 Oct 13:00 Hull City v Everton 3.85 3.54 2.14
11 Oct 13:00 Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest 2.76 3.47 2.80

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Premier League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Brighton Hove 5 3 1 1 +11 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Leeds United 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Newcastle 5 2 2 1 0 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Ipswich Town 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Man United 5 1 2 2 0 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 -4 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Coventry City 5 1 0 4 -9 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for Everton vs Manchester United?+

Our tip was Everton to win at odds of 2.90.

Who is the favourite for Everton vs Manchester United?+

Manchester United are the slight favourites at 2.59, implying about a 39% chance, just ahead of Everton at 2.9 (around 34%). The gap is narrow, so the market rates it a close contest.

What are the odds for a draw?+

The draw is priced at 3.52 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 28% chance. Our model estimates a fair probability nearer 30%, suggesting a small value edge of about 4.79%.

Is there any value in this match?+

Our model identifies Everton to win at 2.9 as the recommended value pick, with an edge of around 3.59%. The draw at 3.52 also shows a modest edge, but both are small margins in a closely priced game.

Did the tip win?+

The tip lost — final score 2-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.