English ⚽ Scottish Premiership 🕒 15 Sept 2026
Our tip
Hearts to win
Odds
2.00
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
+1.01%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Hearts are priced at 2.0, implying a win probability near 50 percent, the shortest price of the three outcomes.
02
Falkirk's 3.95 price implies about 25 percent, while the draw at 3.75 implies roughly 27 percent, keeping the non-Hearts outcomes closely matched.
03
The model's recommended bet, Hearts at 2.0, carries a 3.58 percent value edge based on a 52 percent confidence read.
04
Falkirk also shows a smaller but notable edge of 3.24 percent at 3.95, with fair probability estimated slightly above the market's implied figure.
Team form
FFC Falkirk F.C. DWDLD
19 Sept 26 @ St Johnstone 1-1
15 Sept 26 vs Hearts 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Dundee United 1-1
2 Sept 26 vs Rangers 1-2
9 Aug 26 @ Motherwell 0-0
HEA Hearts DLWWW
19 Sept 26 @ Kilmarnock 1-1
15 Sept 26 @ Falkirk F.C. 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Dundee FC 2-1
3 Sept 26 @ Hibernian 3-1
9 Aug 26 vs Dundee United 4-0
Head-to-head: Falkirk F.C. v Hearts
W 15 Sept 26
Falkirk F.C. 2-1 HeartsScottish Premiership
W/D/L shown from Falkirk F.C.'s perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Falkirk F.C. vs Hearts: pre-match preview
Hearts head to face Falkirk F.C. in the Scottish Premiership as the clear market favourites, with Coolbet pricing them at 2.0 for the win. That price implies a probability of roughly 50 percent, comfortably ahead of Falkirk's 3.95 (about 25 percent) and the draw at 3.75 (around 27 percent). The gap between favourite and underdog is wide enough to suggest the market sees this as a one-sided contest, though a home draw or upset remains live given the odds attached to both outcomes. Our model's recommended play sits with Hearts to win at 2.0, backed by a market-implied confidence of 52 percent and a modelled edge of 3.58 percent. Interestingly, the data also flags some residual value on Falkirk at 3.95, where the fair probability estimate of 26 percent slightly exceeds the price-implied figure, producing a 3.24 percent edge. Punters weighing this fixture have two data-backed angles to consider before kick-off.
Verdict: Hearts represent the statistically favoured and modestly value-rated selection at 2.0, with the model giving them a slight edge over the raw market price. It is not a heavily lopsided market, though, so this remains a moderate-risk pick rather than a formality; the draw and Falkirk prices reflect a genuine chance of an upset.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 15 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 2-1
1.81 +0.81u V 22 Aug 26
Hearts to winScottish Premiership
2.35 0.00u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Falkirk F.C. vs Hearts?+
Our tip was Hearts to win at odds of 2.00.
Who is favourite in the Falkirk F.C. vs Hearts match?+
Hearts are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.0, which implies around a 50 percent chance of winning, well ahead of Falkirk's implied 25 percent.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.75 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of roughly 27 percent.
Is there betting value in this Scottish Premiership fixture?+
The model highlights value on Hearts to win at 2.0, citing a 3.58 percent edge, while also noting a smaller 3.24 percent edge on Falkirk at 3.95 based on its fair probability estimate.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).