English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Fluminense to win
Odds
1.90
WonResult
1-0Final score
+0.90uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
-23.39%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Fluminense are priced at 1.9 for the win, implying an approximate 52.6 percent chance according to the market.
02
Vasco da Gama's 4.4 price implies roughly 22.7 percent, positioning them as clear outsiders in the odds.
03
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying around 27.8 percent, making it a notably live secondary outcome.
04
The model's confidence of 55 percent on Fluminense sits above the raw implied probability, producing a quoted value edge of about 4.95 percent.
Team form
FLU Fluminense LWDWW
12 Sept 26 @ Mineiro 1-3
6 Sept 26 vs Vasco da Gama 1-0
30 Aug 26 @ Paranaense 3-3
22 Aug 26 vs Clube do Remo 2-1
15 Aug 26 vs Palmeiras 3-2
VDG Vasco da Gama WWLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Coritiba 5-0
12 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Fluminense 0-1
30 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 3-1
23 Aug 26 @ Palmeiras 1-4
Head-to-head: Fluminense v Vasco da Gama
Full H2H history → W 6 Sept 26
Fluminense 1-0 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
L 19 Mar 26
Vasco da Gama 3-2 FluminenseBrasileirão
L 20 Oct 25
Vasco da Gama 2-0 FluminenseBrasileirão
W 24 May 25
Fluminense 2-1 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Fluminense's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: pre-match preview
Fluminense host Vasco da Gama in a Rio de Janeiro derby that carries clear weight in the Brasileirão table, and the betting market leaves little doubt about who the price-setters favour. Fluminense's best available price of 1.9 with Coolbet implies a win probability of roughly 52.6 percent, making them the clear favourites on paper. Vasco, at 4.4 with Betfair, are priced at close to 22.7 percent, while the draw sits at 3.6 with 1xBet, implying around 27.8 percent. That combination suggests bookmakers see this as a fixture where the home side has a meaningful but not overwhelming edge, with the draw a live alternative outcome. Our model's recommended selection is Fluminense to win at 1.9, with a stated market-implied confidence of 55 percent and a value edge of just under 5 percent versus the raw market price.
Verdict: Fluminense to win at 1.9 is the model's pick, backed by a modest value edge of roughly 5 percent over the market price. It is a favourite-backing selection rather than a long-shot play, so the potential return is limited and the draw at 3.6 remains a realistic alternative outcome. Stake with discipline.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.90 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?+
Our tip was Fluminense to win at odds of 1.90.
Who is favourite in Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?+
Fluminense are the market favourites, priced at 1.9 for the win, which implies an approximate 52.6 percent chance compared with Vasco da Gama's 4.4 price and roughly 22.7 percent implied chance.
What is the draw priced at in this Brasileirão fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.6 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of around 27.8 percent, making it a fairly prominent alternative to a home win.
Is there value in backing Fluminense to win?+
According to the model, yes, with Fluminense's win at 1.9 carrying a quoted value edge of about 4.95 percent based on a 55 percent confidence level, though no bet is without risk.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+0.90u at flat stakes).