Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Fredrikstad are the market favourite at 2.0 (about 50% implied), well ahead of Kristiansund at 3.97 (roughly 25%).
The draw is priced at 3.73, implying around a 27% chance, so a stalemate is far from unlikely.
The recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 2.08, shows a value edge of about 3.46% with market-implied confidence near 50%.
No match-result value pick cleared our threshold, so the total is where the model sees the edge rather than the outcome.
Team form
Head-to-head: Fredrikstad FK v Kristiansund BK
W/D/L shown from Fredrikstad FK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Fredrikstad FK vs Kristiansund BK: pre-match preview
Fredrikstad FK host Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At 2.0, Fredrikstad are priced at roughly a 50% implied chance, while Kristiansund at 3.97 sit near 25%, and the draw at 3.73 translates to about 27%. That spread makes Fredrikstad the favourite without being overwhelming, leaving room for a competitive contest. Rather than backing a side, our model focuses on the total, recommending Under 2.5 goals at 2.08 with Nordic Bet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 50% and a modest value edge of 3.46%, the only selection to clear our threshold here. In short, the odds suggest a home lean but a game that could stay tight, which aligns with the case for a lower-scoring outcome. As always, treat these prices as probabilities rather than certainties and stake within your means.
Verdict: The pick is Under 2.5 goals at 2.08, backed by a small 3.46% value edge and roughly even implied confidence. It is a moderate-risk selection: essentially a coin flip in the market's eyes, with only a slim edge, so size the stake conservatively.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.08 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.08.
Fredrikstad FK are the favourite at 2.0, implying about a 50% chance. Kristiansund BK are the outsiders at 3.97, around 25% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.73 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 27% chance of the match ending level.
Our model flags Under 2.5 goals at 2.08 (Nordic Bet) with a value edge of about 3.46%. No match-result selection cleared the value threshold.
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.08u at flat stakes).