English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.97
LostResult
2-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
53%Pre-match conf.
-2.48%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Fulham are favourites at 2.31 (about 43% implied), with Crystal Palace at 3.3 (roughly 30%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying close to 28%, underlining how competitive the market views this fixture.
03
Our recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, shows a value edge of 4.86% and around 53% implied confidence.
04
The draw also flags value, with a fair probability of 29% versus its 3.6 price, a 3.5% edge.
Team form
FUL Fulham DDLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Man United 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Liverpool 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Crystal Palace 2-3
30 Aug 26 @ Sunderland 0-1
24 Aug 26 vs Chelsea 2-3
CP Crystal Palace DLWLL
20 Sept 26 @ Leeds United 0-0
12 Sept 26 vs Ipswich Town 2-3
5 Sept 26 @ Fulham 3-2
28 Aug 26 vs Man City 1-4
22 Aug 26 @ Everton 0-2
Head-to-head: Fulham v Crystal Palace
Full H2H history → L 5 Sept 26
Fulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
D 1 Jan 26
Crystal Palace 1-1 FulhamPremier League
L 7 Dec 25
Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalacePremier League
W/D/L shown from Fulham's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: pre-match preview
Fulham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League with the market leaning towards the home side. At a best price of 2.31, Fulham are the favourites, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%. Crystal Palace are priced around 3.3, or about 30% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.6, close to 28%. That is a fairly narrow spread, suggesting a contest the market does not see as one-sided. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model points elsewhere: Under 2.5 goals at 1.97 carries a market-implied confidence of about 53% and a value edge of 4.86%, making it the standout selection here. The pricing also flags the draw as a secondary angle, with a fair probability near 29% against its 3.6 quote. Taken together, the numbers hint at a tight, potentially low-scoring afternoon between Fulham and Crystal Palace.
Verdict: The main pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, supported by a 4.86% value edge and roughly 53% confidence. It is close to an even-money proposition, so treat it as a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong lock, and stake responsibly within your bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 5 Sept 26
Fulham to winfinal score 2-3
2.46 -1.00u Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.97.
Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?+
Fulham are the favourites at a best price of 2.31, which implies about a 43% chance. Crystal Palace are the outsiders at 3.3, roughly 30%.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.6, implying around 28%. Our model rates its fair probability closer to 29%, giving a small value edge of about 3.5%.
Is there any value in this match?+
Our model highlights Under 2.5 goals at 1.97 as the best value, with a 4.86% edge and about 53% implied confidence. The draw at 3.6 is a secondary value angle.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).