English ⚽ 2. Bundesliga 🕒 18 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
2.25
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
-3.02%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Magdeburg (2.5) and Fürth (2.55) are priced almost level, showing the market gives neither side a clear edge
02
The draw at 4.0 implies about 25 percent, just under the model's fair probability of 26 percent, producing a modest 4.01 percent edge
03
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.73 carries 55 percent implied confidence but shows a negative 5.14 percent value edge, meaning the price does not fully reward the model's assessment
04
Combined match-result prices exceed 100 percent, a normal bookmaker margin that bettors should factor in when comparing implied and fair probabilities
Team form
GF Greuther Fürth DDLLD
18 Sept 26 vs 1. FC Magdeburg 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ VfL Bochum 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 0-1
15 Aug 26 vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2-4
9 Aug 26 @ FC St. Pauli 1-1
1FM 1. FC Magdeburg DWLWL
18 Sept 26 @ Greuther Fürth 1-1
12 Sept 26 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0
6 Sept 26 @ Hertha Berlin 1-2
15 Aug 26 @ VfL Osnabrück 3-0
8 Aug 26 vs Eintracht Braunschweig 1-6
Head-to-head: Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg
D 18 Sept 26
Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Greuther Fürth's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg: pre-match preview
Greuther Fürth host 1. FC Magdeburg in a tightly priced 2. Bundesliga clash where the bookmakers see very little to separate the two sides. Magdeburg are the marginal favourites at 2.5 with Coolbet, implying a probability of roughly 40 percent, while Fürth are priced almost identically at 2.55 with Tipico, translating to about 39 percent. The draw sits out at 4.0 with Coolbet, implying around 25 percent, which is a shade below the model's fair estimate of 26 percent, hinting at some value there. Our recommended angle for this fixture, however, is in the goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.73 with LeoVegas, though it's worth noting this comes with a slightly negative value edge according to our model, so it should be treated as a measured, not a standout, selection.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.73 reflects a fairly balanced expectation of the scoreline without suggesting a one-sided game, but its negative value edge means it is not a clearly favourable price by the model's own reading. The draw offers a small statistical edge instead. Stake sizes should stay modest given the tight market and mixed signals.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 18 Sept 26
Greuther Fürth to winfinal score 1-1
2.86 -1.00u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.25.
Who is favourite in the Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg match?+
Magdeburg are the slight market favourites at 2.5 with Coolbet, implying about 40 percent, just ahead of Fürth at 2.55, implying roughly 39 percent.
What is the draw priced at for Fürth vs Magdeburg?+
The draw is available at 4.0 with Coolbet, implying a probability of about 25 percent, which is marginally below the model's fair estimate of 26 percent.
Is there value in this Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg fixture?+
According to the data, the draw shows a positive edge of about 4.01 percent versus the market price, while the recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.73 actually carries a negative edge of 5.14 percent, so value is mixed rather than one-directional.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).