English ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Hartberg to win
Odds
3.30
WonResult
3-2Final score
+2.30uProfit
35%Pre-match conf.
+10%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Tipico
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Ried are the market favourites at 2.2 (about 45% implied), while Hartberg are priced at 3.3 (roughly 30%), a clear gap in the bookmakers' view.
02
The draw is quoted at 3.63 with Pinnacle, implying near 28% and making this a relatively competitive three-way market.
03
Our model recommends Hartberg to win at 3.3, citing a value edge of about 16.41% against the market price.
04
Despite the model's edge, the market-implied confidence in Hartberg is only 35%, so this remains an underdog play rather than a likely outcome.
Team form
HAR Hartberg DDWWL
20 Sept 26 vs LASK 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ WSG Tirol 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Ried 3-2
22 Aug 26 @ Rheindorf Altach 2-1
16 Aug 26 vs Austria Wien 0-2
RIE Ried WDLWL
20 Sept 26 vs Wolfsberger AC 4-1
11 Sept 26 vs RB Salzburg 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Hartberg 2-3
21 Aug 26 vs Grazer AK 1-0
14 Aug 26 @ LASK 1-4
Head-to-head: Hartberg v Ried
W 30 Aug 26
Hartberg 3-2 RiedAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Hartberg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Hartberg vs Ried: pre-match preview
This Austrian Bundesliga clash sees Hartberg host Ried, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. Ried are the favourites at 2.2 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 45%, while Hartberg sit as outsiders at 3.3 (Tipico), or about 30% in probability terms. The draw is priced at 3.63 with Pinnacle, implying around 28%. Those numbers underline a fixture the market considers open but tilted toward Ried. Our model, however, takes a contrarian view on the home side: it flags Hartberg to win at 3.3 as offering a value edge of about 16.41%, suggesting the price may be longer than the underlying chances warrant. That does not make Hartberg likely to win outright, but it does highlight where our figures diverge from the consensus. The rest of this preview breaks down what the prices imply before settling on a recommendation.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Hartberg to win at 3.3 (Tipico), backed by a model value edge of around 16.41%. This is an underdog selection with only about 35% implied confidence, so treat it as higher risk. The value lies in the price, not in any expectation of a comfortable home win.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of +2.30 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Hartberg vs Ried?+
Our tip was Hartberg to win at odds of 3.30.
Who is the favourite for Hartberg vs Ried?+
Ried are the favourites, priced at 2.2 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 45% chance. Hartberg are the outsiders at 3.3.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.63 with Pinnacle, implying around a 28% probability.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model flags Hartberg to win at 3.3 as the value pick, with an estimated edge of about 16.41%. Note this is still an underdog bet with roughly 35% implied confidence, so manage your stake accordingly.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-2 (+2.30u at flat stakes).