Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Manchester United's 1.5 price implies about a 67% win probability, making them a heavy favourite in the eyes of the market.
Hull City at 8.0 are priced at roughly 12.5%, while the draw at 4.7 sits near 21%, ranking above a home win.
The recommended Over 2.75 goals bet at 1.93 reflects an almost even 49% implied confidence, suggesting a tightly balanced total.
The value edge on the goals pick is negative at -5.02%, indicating the odds do not offer a mathematical advantage against the model.
Team form
Head-to-head: Hull City v Manchester United
W/D/L shown from Hull City's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Hull City vs Manchester United: pre-match preview
This Premier League clash sees Hull City host Manchester United, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. United are priced at 1.5, which implies roughly a 67% chance of taking the three points, while Hull City sit as clear outsiders at 8.0, translating to around 12.5% in probability terms. The draw at 4.7 reflects an implied likelihood near 21%, marking it as the second most-backed outcome ahead of a home win. That price structure paints a familiar picture of a strong away favourite against a home side the bookmakers rate lightly. Our model steps away from the match result entirely, instead recommending Over 2.75 goals at 1.93 with Pinnacle. That line carries a market-implied confidence of about 49%, essentially a coin flip, though it is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -5.02%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.75 goals at 1.93, a near coin-flip total in a match with a strong favourite. Be aware the negative value edge means this is not a priced-in advantage, so treat it as a modest-risk lean and stake responsibly rather than chasing it.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of +7.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Hull City to win at odds of 8.00.
The tip won — final score 2-0 (+7.00u at flat stakes).